62 Comments

Man, you're way too smart. But then again maybe I'm not smart enough to know how smart you are . . . .

But thank you.

Like you, I can't vouch for anyone I haven't met, but you seem to be an ace person and I'm glad you're fighting for a kinder world.

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I try to read everything I can from both Mathew and Dowd. A couple of things the two have in common from my point of view as an educated person, but NOT knowledgeable on the topics at hand (vaccine safety nor finance) is that both of them know far more than I do, and both of them feel a strong sense of urgency that everyone else understand that the vaccines are killing people unnecessarily. And both some across to me as sincere, although I admit my BS detector has been fooled in the past. I personally have acted on nothing more substantial than Mathew's advice to grow a garden. (My receipts: about $200 at Home Depot resulting in one squash and about two dozen tiny tomatoes...that is, some of us can lose money at even that game.)

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Unfortunately, I suspect the US uniparty government will “bail out” insurance companies and blame covid (or “long covid”). All in exchange for suppressing any evidence of vaccine injury.

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I had to read this piece twice to grasp it. I’ve spent two hours with it, and haven’t clicked on every link, but on many of them. Some of the links brought me to articles of yours that I was glad to see I had already read, and some to articles of yours that I thought I had read but had only started, and some to articles of yours that I hadn’t seen before, but now I’m glad I’ve read.

The breadth and depth of your understanding is astonishing, and I feel fortunate to have come into contact with you through your writing. Thank you for bringing your erudition to this Edward Dowd story. I feel much more informed about it, but it leaves me with some questions, and I’m grateful that the breadth of your experience may give you the tools to answer these.

Do you think the insurance actuaries will eventually come to the conclusion that the COVID-19 “vaccines” are responsible for increased all-cause mortality (especially cardiovascular events), and will that understanding constrain the insurance companies to make adjustments in their policies that do not favor the recipients of repeated doses of these biological injectable products? Wouldn’t that be a necessary business strategy to protect against unnecessary losses when underwriting life insurance and disability insurance products? If you think that may happen, do you at least agree with Dowd that 2024 seems to be a correct ballpark estimate for the time course for these adjustments?

Thank you for all you do, and keep up the excellent work.

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I wanted to believe Ed would turn out to be correct. But I much doubt anyone has the power to force the pharma companies to account for their evil deeds. Too many other guilty parties. Those looking at any player as if we’re in the good old days, where media might take a side & splash a story, is smoking something.

Absolutely nothing gets to the public that the perpetrators don’t want.

I no longer believe minor figures like me in the marginal / alternative media have any chance of reaching enough people to force the issue. That why I implore listeners to access their networks, because it’s absolutely impossible for me ever to reach them. And you know what? They’re not doing it. Why not, I don’t know. But they’re not.

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Jun 23, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

So, I subscribed so I could comment, been following you from Twitter originally. I appreciate all your warnings. My feeble understanding of markets have definitely led me to believe most of the market is rigged for the top market makers. My question to you is the top three books/podcasts/videos/sources you would recommend to someone wanting to understand the market and trading better. Like better understanding the Greeks, the indicators best used, etc. And I will plant a garden while I listen to them….

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I've listened carefully to nearly all the interviews given by Edward Dowd out there. I have never heard him imply or suggest that shorting would be a good thing for the viewer to do or that he is giving investment advice. He has acknowledged a colleague's bet that is very long term with respect to Pfizer. Dowd's main message is that the data are alarming on the deaths and disabilities. He suggests repeatedly do your own thinking and create your own thesis, maybe not smart to keep Pfizer and Moderna and their related companies in your portfolio, nor insurance companies who hold that liability as it has potential for toxic downside. His warnings are general and very appreciated while the data he presents very specific and across multiple datasets.

Shorting and options a whole other matter for experts. We all know that there is unknown and mysterious support under the pharma stocks. Lately I am realizing with sinking heart that the vaccines were likely ordered under a very different federal contract mechanism perhaps a task order within an IDIQ mechanism with emergency status within DARPA or DOD. I gathered this from language coming out of the Brook Jackson Whistleblower lawsuit led by attorney Robert Barnes, where Pfizer's first defense was "the government was in on it."

There isn't enough transparency of information to safely intelligently play this market news.

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Jun 23, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

Trading really is the Wild West. My erstwhile hubby was a DC Fed economist for several decades monitoring various things on Wall Street and when a relative left him some money he lost it all in the market. Like a lot of you, he had spent time in the financial world early on and was considered very “insightful.” Which apparently can be like describing a woman as “interesting looking.” On the other hand, my brother made his first million as a college freshman day trading between classes and only got wealthier as the years rolled on.

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I like Dowd. He strikes me as a guy that is genuinely upset by the criminality that he is seeing in Pharma and wants to warn the world about it in an effort to protect people. He is also a bright guy.

In fact he reminds me of me. He is a finance guy with a background in investment management; I used to be an investment banker. But one thing that I learned in my Wall Street days is not to think that I could hang with traders. That is a very special breed of cat, with a level of math ability that few mortals have.

One of my heuristics from being around finance for a lifetime is never trade on anything that I see in the press - that information has already been priced in and by guys that are far smarter than me. The corollary - since I don't have access to inside information and would not use it if I had it - is not to trade. Since I have always viewed trading as being something that only professionals should engage in, it did not occur to me that people would actually try to make money on Dowd's revelations. Of course I was.naive about that, so your post here and discussion with Dowd are welcome correctives.

(In the spirit of full disclosure, the one thing that I did do, and it was somewhat based on Dowd's revelations, was to sell my Pfizer stock position, as well as a large part of my J&J position. For me, it was not about the direction of the stock as much as it was the thought of profiting from the efforts of these psychopaths.)

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Jun 23, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

I can't thank you enough for this post. You have managed to put so many different things into perspective. I will always be greatful to you and all the other brilliant warriors for taking on the secrets of the plandemic.

There was always something about Dowd's opinions on trading and the market that did not feel right to me.

Where is that mysterious friend of his that would soon be revealed?

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The chart on Pfizer is showing no indication of breaking down, beyond what the broader market is doing.

That's the reality of what the market thinks of Pfizer at this time. It doesn't get more solid than that.

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Jun 23, 2022·edited Jun 23, 2022

Mathew, this is a great post! I dabbled in options years ago and realized I was the bait, and quit. From time to time I get tempted, but remind myself of that experience and of the fact that there are thousands of very smart people doing this full time, and they'll eat me alive. I admit I looked at shorting PFE/MRNA after seeing Dowd, but reminded myself that there is always a smart player on the other side of the trade, and questioned the wisdom of jumping in on what had a certain pump-and-dump vibe to it (Dowd did a whole lot of Tweets and media appearances pushing his idea). The challenge that so many don't realize, and that you explained very well, is that one can correctly predict the trend of the underlying security, yet lose money. I hope you'll share more insights on investing here in the future.

I hypothesize that your readers are a self-selected group that **may** be at elevated risk of investment error (this includes me). We think of ourselves as "outside-the-box" thinkers and "contrarians" because of our stance on COVID-related matters. We challenge the narrative and look for the secrets that others miss. We love analyzing data and finding hidden patterns. It is tempting to become intellectually arrogant. Our stance could be as much due to happenstance (a loved one had an adverse reaction so we refused vaccination, or a friend happened to send us a Rounding the Earth article before we made the big decision) as to any brilliant deduction on our part. If we apply that attitude to investments, thinking that we are seeing what "The Crowd"(TM) is not seeing, and applying an almost gnostic attitude to investing, we are likely to find out that we are blind to our own weaknesses and, as you put it, are shark bait. A healthy dose of humility will probably serve us well in investments as well as life.

That said, a better understanding of how to live through the challenges ahead, including financially, while not playing at the casino, would be invaluable, and your help on that is much appreciated.

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Jun 23, 2022·edited Jun 23, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

"There is always a chance that you can't collect on some bet you make because the counterparty in your wager went" up in smoke, not belly up. Mathew, I'm working my way across a swift cold river on the stepping stones of your explanation, and I almost fell in and got swept away. :(

But I do understand counterparty risk better now, and that puts into words why it has been so painful to hear people talk about "just wait until the personal injury lawyers show up" as if we lived in the old dispensation as if vaccine casualties could be compensated. By who, with what store of value? This fraud is too big.

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Funny, the markets are down about an av of 20% and to me the inflation is about.....20%....just ships passing in the night I spose....

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Crazy reading this. After watching that interview with Dowd I spoke to my friend who owns a brokerage firm about buying put options. He told me there werent any that made sense for Phizer, Moderns or Biontech. I wound up just shorting Phizer at 53 instead.

Do you think they will ever pay the price for what they have done or do you think they will skate?

Thanks for this article and for giving a dose of reality and for asking the hard questions.

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Honest advice and a warning to amateur's not to compete with the pros is advice all would be well served to follow.

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