8 Comments

Brilliant as always! 👍🏽

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This is gold. Really first rate.

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Thank you! Look forward to your further analysis.

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Check out "Beyond Randomization" by Aickin. Required reading in my course on clinical study design at University of Pittsburgh while I was there.

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I wish I had the statistical background. I want to help. Is there anything I can do?

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Join Operation Uplift.

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"That is quite concerning, and I’m still looking for the right words to walk through that topic. Where are the adult statisticians in the room, anyhow?"

Statisticians can't frame this problem. Common sense thinking of a different sort that can be found in all manner of people ("common" is wrong word its almost like a blood type thing: you can't tell from first impression which people will have it).

Consider places where there are heavy lockdowns.

Why are police officers running checkpoints where they leer in windows at many people all day yet those people are going from point a to b due to heavy restrictions. The superspreader is the police officer not the naughty person that travelled a long way to go hang out with their best mate.

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Statisticians understand that risk-adjustment of person days is an ordinary and expected calcluation in such a paper. It would be shocking if this large a group of people sat at a table talking about how to work with the data without anyone saying a word about the steep risk decline. That should have been out of some honest person's mouth in 15 seconds or less.

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