In normal times, you’d think this data would be enough to make people say, ‘Hmm, maybe we have a problem here…’
Instead we get commercials from state health officials telling people to jab your 5 year old. During Christmas, in the NY/NJ market there was a commercial of a kid writing a letter to Santa asking for the vaccine for Christmas!
I know, does Santa even have elves that are trained in medicine and vaccine development? Where did they get their degrees from? Are the trials performed in-pole or outsourced? So many questions!
I may do more state level analysis for a little while. If you want me to cover New York, email me everything you have on New York. That's going to be a harder writeup than Vermont for a lot of reasons.
Thanks for this. Another thing to add to this substack about Vermont statistics is that health authorities admitted that 76% of the deaths in September were those vaccinated. Did Vermont release those raw numbers of vaccinated and unvaccinated deaths for Oct, Nov and Dec? (We only found out about the raw death rates in for September because a local reporter directly asked about it, because he noticed it was suddenly missing from their reporting).
76% of Vermont deaths in September were vaccinated
Oh great! I don't think Vermont has released raw data numbers since september. I looked for them, and they were giving general statistics suddenly, after giving exact numbers all through the summer. 🧐
A friend & colleague in N VT is holding down the fort,& has been very active in cultivating community & acting up to preserve v x choice for decades now. There is hope! The truth is outing, thanks to hard stony VT groundwork by the silent minority! 🤜🏽💥🤛🏽
It's hard for me to envision an awakening VT, observing the proud graphics affirming 55% of 5-11 yo are v a x complicit, I mean compliant. I thought my Oregon v a x clotapparatchiks were pernicious. VT parents in Beast Mode!
Is Health Choice VT the organization your friend is affiliated with? I'm looking for as many like-minded connections here as I can get. Sadly, free thinkers are in the minority here in our beautiful, misguided state.
I love the Stackers, and I appreciate that we each have benefactors allowing for this work to be done more full time. Your support is tremendous and with all full appreciation. Thank you.
Vermont's medicalnocracy will be defiantly represented, proudly proclaiming "it's for the children, I was following the Fraudci doctrines" at The 2024 Nurenburg 2.0
Hi Matthew, Great article! In this report I compared the highest vaxxed states and the lowest vaxxed states -used worldometer charts and talked about the death profile .. cdc data for deaths... I only got through intermediate algebra which shows I'm not a math person; I think non math people can easily understand the numbers in here.... The death profile shows we should have had a completely different response to Covid aka Focused Protection. https://turningpointnews.org/corona-virus-reports/vaccine-mandates-do-we-really-want-to-continue-down-this-road
Can anyone here who is familiar with Nassim Taleb and his work explain why he has taken such a Covid-stan type approach to this whole issue? I would have thought that a guy whose schtick was "experts are idiots", "mass-scale interventions are iatrogenic", and "big pharma is corrupt" would be a little more skeptical rather than all-in. What is missing in his risk modeling?
[Full disclosure: I really love Taleb's work and have benefited a lot from it over the years. I'm just trying to figure out if/how he is being inconsistent with his own philosophy.]
As a former option trader myself, with a couple of friends in common with Taleb, I've watched him from a short distance for a few years and stopped putting any stock in him. He is his own weirdness, and that's all I'm going to say.
Indeed. In fact, it should intuitively be seen as inversely proportion to economically idle time, and most of the educated social climbers don't have much of that. They're more likely to be miming the person just above them in the hierarchy.
i thought his yt video was far too hand-wavy to be taken seriously. he dismissed the covid risk distribution by saying something like, "believe me, covid is deadly" and goes on to talk about vaccine risks by characterizing the adverse effects of the vaccine from an unknown fat tailed distribution (with unknown arrival time and magnitude). totally unbalanced presentation, but we should be used to that by now, i guess.
Taleb is particularly keyed into the idea of the precautionary principle, correct?
If this is the case, then from a precautionary standpoint, it is safer for all of public health to reduce/minimize/eliminate exposures and cross-contaminating events. Assuming that exposures are going to be mild, asymptomatic, or non-life threatening is counter to the precautionary principle, since even in matters of personal risk the ways in which infection takes place might not be so predictably safe or certain. That is, just because you are taking Vit D, Zinc + ionophores, performing nasal lavage, &c does not mean that you can't unwittingly spread the virus to others who are *not* doing these things.
The tricky thing with RNA viruses is that you don't need to have an entire virus for it to become infectious. Like peer-to-peer torrenting, the seed is in the cloud. You might be doing a bang up job fragmenting the virus with your own immune system, but the cloud can reassemble whole pieces inside others whom you come into contact with, and then it's on for those people.
From the precautionary standpoint, then, it's safer to reduce one's exposure to others for their sake as much as one's own.
. . . this is my assumption of Taleb's perspective. I'm not him, so I don't know to what extent this is his perspective. It's been a while, but I had seen him argue against folks who take a more laissez-faire approach to viral circulation —in these situations, what I notice is that he gets bogged down into the minutiae of the statistical claims, so maybe it's purely about egoic need to be the authority on what curves and slopes are better than others, but in those instances.
I think his main argument is about additive vs. multiplicative risks. His usual analogy is to drowning in a swimming pool. He says, "Me drowning in a swimming pool today does not increase the chances that my neighbor drowns in his tomorrow. Me getting Covid today does increase the chances my neighbor gets Covid tomorrow." In other words, he argues that risks associated with Covid scale exponentially, whereas the risks associated with drowning (or the vaccines, for that matter) do not.
Based on what people have been sharing, I wonder if this is an instance where Taleb is just completely divorced from the real-world data. I remember he had an exchange with Francois Balloux on Twitter, when Balloux was arguing for a form of focused protection, and Taleb called him a "f$%#&!@ idiot" who "knows nothing about risk modeling". Balloux replied by telling him to keep shouting "FAT-TAIL!" in his echo chamber and stick to options trading.
The problem I see in this precautionary principle is that the natural immune system is built for, and needs, exposure to virus and bacteria to stay strong and healthy. The different parts of the immune system can only continually upgrade itself to recognize evolving forms bacteria and viruses if it has exposure to them as they are evolving. So on the population level it would have been best for healthy non-seniors to continue living their normal lives for this virus that has proven less than 1% risk severe illness for them. They would have gotten exposed, gotten immunity, and delivered us to heard immunity for this so-far relatively mild coronavirus.
I got really sick from the flu in my twenties and haven't had a bad flu sense. Perhaps because that initial flu illness created a robust immune response. Then I got exposed to the changing flu viruses each year and my immune system recognizes them from initial immune response, and updates itself with each new form. I don't take the flu vaccine and haven't needed it.
The immune system is incredibly complex, and if Taleb doesn't have knowledge and experience in immunology and epidemiology, he is probably is missing too much to be very useful.
Wouldn't it be nice if the CDC's statement on autopsies was better than, "Some autopsies were done, something something we looked at some number vague mumble..."?
Great data and analysis to share with my [unvaxxed] daughter as she finishes her applications to Biostats graduate programs.
In normal times, you’d think this data would be enough to make people say, ‘Hmm, maybe we have a problem here…’
Instead we get commercials from state health officials telling people to jab your 5 year old. During Christmas, in the NY/NJ market there was a commercial of a kid writing a letter to Santa asking for the vaccine for Christmas!
WTF?!?
I know, does Santa even have elves that are trained in medicine and vaccine development? Where did they get their degrees from? Are the trials performed in-pole or outsourced? So many questions!
I’d trust Santa before Fauci any day!
All of a sudden, I've noticed University of Vermont Medical Center COVID commercials on Tucker Carlson Tonight ~ 🤯
This is great!
I’d love to see a chart for NY, which was hit hard early, and then followed with draconian measures.
I may do more state level analysis for a little while. If you want me to cover New York, email me everything you have on New York. That's going to be a harder writeup than Vermont for a lot of reasons.
Thanks for this. Another thing to add to this substack about Vermont statistics is that health authorities admitted that 76% of the deaths in September were those vaccinated. Did Vermont release those raw numbers of vaccinated and unvaccinated deaths for Oct, Nov and Dec? (We only found out about the raw death rates in for September because a local reporter directly asked about it, because he noticed it was suddenly missing from their reporting).
76% of Vermont deaths in September were vaccinated
https://vermontdailychronicle.com/2021/09/30/76-of-september-covid-19-deaths-are-vaxxed-breakthroughs/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
Thank you! I wrote this article in two hours due to request. I may write more now. The extra info helps.
Oh great! I don't think Vermont has released raw data numbers since september. I looked for them, and they were giving general statistics suddenly, after giving exact numbers all through the summer. 🧐
It's like pulling teeth to get the damning/useful information out of our officials!
Yes! The denture industry could really profit. 😅
You nailed it! Levine is always flapping his gums ~ 😹
I happen to know that "100% of over 65s in VT are vaccinated" is not true. :)
I suspected not, but sometimes on a data level, you have to play by their rules (incorrect data) until you can force a contradiction.
A friend & colleague in N VT is holding down the fort,& has been very active in cultivating community & acting up to preserve v x choice for decades now. There is hope! The truth is outing, thanks to hard stony VT groundwork by the silent minority! 🤜🏽💥🤛🏽
It's hard for me to envision an awakening VT, observing the proud graphics affirming 55% of 5-11 yo are v a x complicit, I mean compliant. I thought my Oregon v a x clotapparatchiks were pernicious. VT parents in Beast Mode!
Is Health Choice VT the organization your friend is affiliated with? I'm looking for as many like-minded connections here as I can get. Sadly, free thinkers are in the minority here in our beautiful, misguided state.
Ah the injected disease; look at 2 maps of the USA...one showing 'cases' and one showing 'vaccinations'. Almost perfect overlap.
Matthew, you are the best. Of all stackers, you are the one I most gladly give money to.
I love the Stackers, and I appreciate that we each have benefactors allowing for this work to be done more full time. Your support is tremendous and with all full appreciation. Thank you.
Some similar themes to a post I wrote after seeing the high number of deaths in the summer… https://inumero.substack.com/p/can-vaccines-be-90-effective-at-reducing?r=tv61s&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=direct
Vermont's medicalnocracy will be defiantly represented, proudly proclaiming "it's for the children, I was following the Fraudci doctrines" at The 2024 Nurenburg 2.0
Hi Matthew, Great article! In this report I compared the highest vaxxed states and the lowest vaxxed states -used worldometer charts and talked about the death profile .. cdc data for deaths... I only got through intermediate algebra which shows I'm not a math person; I think non math people can easily understand the numbers in here.... The death profile shows we should have had a completely different response to Covid aka Focused Protection. https://turningpointnews.org/corona-virus-reports/vaccine-mandates-do-we-really-want-to-continue-down-this-road
Can anyone here who is familiar with Nassim Taleb and his work explain why he has taken such a Covid-stan type approach to this whole issue? I would have thought that a guy whose schtick was "experts are idiots", "mass-scale interventions are iatrogenic", and "big pharma is corrupt" would be a little more skeptical rather than all-in. What is missing in his risk modeling?
[Full disclosure: I really love Taleb's work and have benefited a lot from it over the years. I'm just trying to figure out if/how he is being inconsistent with his own philosophy.]
As a former option trader myself, with a couple of friends in common with Taleb, I've watched him from a short distance for a few years and stopped putting any stock in him. He is his own weirdness, and that's all I'm going to say.
Mass formation psychosis is not a function of intellect or prior scepticism.
Indeed. In fact, it should intuitively be seen as inversely proportion to economically idle time, and most of the educated social climbers don't have much of that. They're more likely to be miming the person just above them in the hierarchy.
This is all very helpful. Thanks!
i thought his yt video was far too hand-wavy to be taken seriously. he dismissed the covid risk distribution by saying something like, "believe me, covid is deadly" and goes on to talk about vaccine risks by characterizing the adverse effects of the vaccine from an unknown fat tailed distribution (with unknown arrival time and magnitude). totally unbalanced presentation, but we should be used to that by now, i guess.
Taleb is particularly keyed into the idea of the precautionary principle, correct?
If this is the case, then from a precautionary standpoint, it is safer for all of public health to reduce/minimize/eliminate exposures and cross-contaminating events. Assuming that exposures are going to be mild, asymptomatic, or non-life threatening is counter to the precautionary principle, since even in matters of personal risk the ways in which infection takes place might not be so predictably safe or certain. That is, just because you are taking Vit D, Zinc + ionophores, performing nasal lavage, &c does not mean that you can't unwittingly spread the virus to others who are *not* doing these things.
The tricky thing with RNA viruses is that you don't need to have an entire virus for it to become infectious. Like peer-to-peer torrenting, the seed is in the cloud. You might be doing a bang up job fragmenting the virus with your own immune system, but the cloud can reassemble whole pieces inside others whom you come into contact with, and then it's on for those people.
From the precautionary standpoint, then, it's safer to reduce one's exposure to others for their sake as much as one's own.
. . . this is my assumption of Taleb's perspective. I'm not him, so I don't know to what extent this is his perspective. It's been a while, but I had seen him argue against folks who take a more laissez-faire approach to viral circulation —in these situations, what I notice is that he gets bogged down into the minutiae of the statistical claims, so maybe it's purely about egoic need to be the authority on what curves and slopes are better than others, but in those instances.
I think his main argument is about additive vs. multiplicative risks. His usual analogy is to drowning in a swimming pool. He says, "Me drowning in a swimming pool today does not increase the chances that my neighbor drowns in his tomorrow. Me getting Covid today does increase the chances my neighbor gets Covid tomorrow." In other words, he argues that risks associated with Covid scale exponentially, whereas the risks associated with drowning (or the vaccines, for that matter) do not.
Based on what people have been sharing, I wonder if this is an instance where Taleb is just completely divorced from the real-world data. I remember he had an exchange with Francois Balloux on Twitter, when Balloux was arguing for a form of focused protection, and Taleb called him a "f$%#&!@ idiot" who "knows nothing about risk modeling". Balloux replied by telling him to keep shouting "FAT-TAIL!" in his echo chamber and stick to options trading.
The problem I see in this precautionary principle is that the natural immune system is built for, and needs, exposure to virus and bacteria to stay strong and healthy. The different parts of the immune system can only continually upgrade itself to recognize evolving forms bacteria and viruses if it has exposure to them as they are evolving. So on the population level it would have been best for healthy non-seniors to continue living their normal lives for this virus that has proven less than 1% risk severe illness for them. They would have gotten exposed, gotten immunity, and delivered us to heard immunity for this so-far relatively mild coronavirus.
I got really sick from the flu in my twenties and haven't had a bad flu sense. Perhaps because that initial flu illness created a robust immune response. Then I got exposed to the changing flu viruses each year and my immune system recognizes them from initial immune response, and updates itself with each new form. I don't take the flu vaccine and haven't needed it.
The immune system is incredibly complex, and if Taleb doesn't have knowledge and experience in immunology and epidemiology, he is probably is missing too much to be very useful.
Will you include a link to look out?
"Biden admin touts $137M deal for COVID test strip factory the company says it w͟i͟l͟l͟ ͟t͟a͟k͟e͟ ͟3͟ ͟y͟e͟a͟r͟s͟ ͟t͟o͟ ͟b͟u͟i͟l͟d" https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/biden-inks-137m-deal-for-covid-test-strip-factory-to-be-built-over-3-years
Does this count as a "shovel ready" project?
I don't know about shovel-ready, but my hip-waders have been on standby for a while.
Love it! But maybe that's just me?! ;-)
Since the infection mortality correlates with known comorbidities, I have to wonder if vaccine injuries/death also does that?
Indeed.
Wouldn't it be nice if the CDC's statement on autopsies was better than, "Some autopsies were done, something something we looked at some number vague mumble..."?