22 Comments
Aug 29, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

English is not my best language... so please help me. Is the point that Vietnam seemed to be weathering the pandemic using therapeutic, repurposed drugs, then changed course into mass vaccination only to have the pandemic spiral out of control?

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Thanks for that. When the history of this pandemic is written, historians will mystified why even among researchers specifically investigating the radically reduced death rates of Asian countries compared to Western ones, none of them looked at what *treatments* were being used in those Asian countries.

Robert Clark

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Aug 31, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

re: "for some reason Our World in Data does not allow users to view the CFR graphs prior to September 1, 2020, even though the data that would be used to do it is available."

Totally coincidental, of course, but 'Our World In Data' is supported by grants from the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation - https://ourworldindata.org/funding

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Aug 29, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

Yes, thank you again for this. Learning a great deal from you.

Do you permit your publicly posted analyses to be republished? I'm simply curating publicly accessible information that I deem reliable. My site doesn't get a whole lot of traffic but it's steady and increasing. Nothing commercial, of course. Of course, all attributions are properly made.

Aye!

--N

BTW: a reference by Dr. Peter McCullough with which you are probably already familiar, but in case you missed it, by Dr. Jessica Rose: 'A Report on the U.S. Vaccine Adverse EventsReporting System (VAERS) of the COVID-1 9Messenger Ribonucleic Acid (mRNA) Biologicals.PDF' ==> https://hbnshow.com/martie/radio/Rose.stats.pdf

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Sep 1, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

Hmm. Did a little more digging on 'Our World In Data'. Funding by not only Gates, but a German Billionaire, and ... the Deputy Prime Minister of Russia - https://twitter.com/JorJorWell/status/1432898139346845699?s=20

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When I read articles like the above and the preceding Uganda piece, my first thought is: "how has the COVID case/death measurement apparatus in this country changed over time?" If we can't confidently answer this question, then reported case/death trends are almost meaningless. I urge you to include this information in future articles. And if you cannot find it, then you should make this clear and make your assumptions explicit.

Consider that, for both Uganda and Vietnam, you report that (H)CQ was dropped, and deaths rose, shortly after major infusions of foreign cash. But did other changes in policy accompany this money, such as a broader testing regime, different test kits, or more expansive criteria for labeling something a "COVID" case/death?

What has been most crazy-making in this pandemic has been reading reporting and analyses of statistics with almost no attention paid to the underlying measurement apparatus. The MSM is the worst offender, but I find many well-intentioned independent analysts in the blogosphere doing the same.

People, especially intelligent people, like numbers because they are analytically tractable and you can tell a coherent story with them. But they are worse than useless when they don't actually represent the thing they claim to be representing. It's my sense that most of the official statistics in this pandemic are garbage, for the simple reason that the accounting methodology varies across space and time. That's because it's really hard to measure COVID cases and deaths.

Many will respond "well, it's the best we've got, so might as well work with it". But IMO this is a bad idea. It is only worth doing statistical analysis when you are confident in the source data. Without this confidence, you are better off delineating what we are ignorant about because of the lack of good data.

In any case, I respect your efforts here and will continue to support the blog, we need more smart people taking a critical eye to the narrative.

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Removed (Banned)Aug 29, 2021
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