I appreciate the suggestion to take it in small sections, digest it, and then add more. I tend to read so much and don't reflect enough. I jumble up all the stuff I read and sometimes lack an ability to explain it to others in a cohesive and precise manner. Precision does matter. I wish those in charge of "public health" also realized this fact.
I think you can include more per article. I was ready to dig into something substantial, and then ended suddenly. Also have you seen Prof. Norman Fenton's to and fro's with the UK ONS on the "healthy vaccine effect"?
If a contagious disease causes very few disease and deaths in the general population, then it is impossible to develop an effective prevention for the general population.
This premise is perfect for a highly profitable fraud.
That was what I was thinking three years ago.
Therefore, lack of efficacy is a foregone conclusion.
In fact, it would be a failure to the con-man if there was any efficacy from his product. He would be the laughing stock in the next world convention of con-men.
But I understand people like to believe in illusions as a means to avoid the pain of betrayal, deception, coercion, etc. That happens to me too. It's bad!
It's good to realize that overcoming illusions is good for you and everyone else.
Why do I care about vaccines or mRNA gene altering injections? If there is some deadly virus in the world, by the time any vaccine or mRNA injection can be put on the market, that virus will have done severe damage to humanity. Whether it takes you down is a matter of your immunity, risk factors and chance. Not some useless vaccination.
Unless that virus was known to be coming ahead of time and that speaks of a "forced virus" being introduced...likely invented by man, no drugs could be created fast enough to prevent transmission or infection. Thus, there would already be stockpiles of drugs ready to go to combat the manufactured virus. So, that would be a faked pandemic. It's purpose? That is the debate.
These medical clowns cannot predict with any accuracy what virus might be coming down the pike. It is 100% a scare tactic to install the fear of infection and death. You can not prove any vaccine/mRNA product is safe and effective nor can you know how a virus might act in the real world outside of a lab.
There is no question for me about taking ANY vaccinations or mRNA injections for anything at any time. Despite all the presumed "nasties" these clowns have invented, I am still alive and functioning relatively well in my early 70's without having taken any injections (except maybe a tetanus shot) in the last 50 years.
For me, I have determined, the safe and effective thing to do is try to stay healthy overall, without using ANY big pharma drugs and that is my plan not subject to alterations no matter how deadly they tell us a virus is. There is no debate needed as to how the data plays out or what it suggests. I couldn't care less as I have no control over anyone's choices at this point.
Recall that about 20 years ago we had SARS CoV-1 floating around and if that was even real, it likely mutated into millions of variants none of which took out mankind despite there not being any "safe and effective" vaccines or mRNA injections.
In your definition of "Subsequent Health Variable" you used the phrase "health intervention". That made me laugh! The reason is in my opinion it is actually an intervention in health. I think doctors do far more harm than good, so I would prefer the phrase "medical intervention".
Also, I have to point out that young people rarely "seek" medical care. In the case of the covid shots, they were coerced by school or work. Health is already on their side because they are young.
It's amazing in some ways to watch the endless discussions and array of hypotheses on "all things mRNA injections" and on a broader scale "all things Covid."
Most of these discussions begin with presuppositions that avoid the core realities of what we are up against. To put it simply injecting toxic crap into your body will always damage your body. To put faith in any of these so-called products and to believe anything the Pharma Industry asserts is a form of madness.
Covid Is Not An Epidemiological Story; Covid Is A Crime Story.
"Covid-19" is not a disease, it's a business plan.
They've been using this same pandemic investment and control strategy for over 30 years now- it's lucrative. Even most of the "top tier" Covid dissenters fell for this crap and parroted the pandemic lie.
Covid-19, the disease, is nothing more than a disease of ATTRIBUTION.
Covid-19, the media event, was the Trojan Horse constructed to usher in a complete transformation of our society.
Covid-19, the operation, was never an epidemiological event, it is a business model meant to increase the portfolios of the super-wealthy.
There is no such thing as “Covid 19” except as a criminal conspiracy.
I'm glad you brought this to light. It's an effect that, by default, will cast a shadow over all numbers they pump out. And we have uncovered several examples of statistical trickery and errors that compound HUB, but they require a deep dive analysis to uncover for each paper.
And it's also much easier for most people to accept than to say the CDC is corrupt.
The flu vaccine study was particularly interesting, in that it seemed to be more effective at preventing ailments other than the flu than the flu itself.
I haven't read this post but just noticed the 0% effectiveness image for Covid vaxes. That's how I'd put it. Zero percent effective. Numerous percentage points Harmful. It's about as effective as most other poisons are at doing Harm.
but there are also the people who took it because of mandates, to keep their job or not to be ostracized by their family or friends. I guess they are also healthier? or there are so few of them that it doesn't factor into this.
Thanks for all of your great work! How are you computing the correlation coefficients in the graph? Are you doing any searching across lags? I'm currently trying time series plots of excess deaths, vax update, and cases in each state, although going to the county level is likely best to avoid Simpson's Paradox cases between urban and rural. There is a large spike in deaths in Aug-Sep 2021 (Delta wave) across a lot of Southern and Mountain West states that does not occur at all in the Northeast, so we have direct confounding since the Northeast states tend to have the highest vax rates. It's not clear to me at all this is all explained by HUB.
I'm proposing a new hypothesis: The Intelligent Non-User Bias; INUB ("eye"NUB). Those of us smart enough to follow Nancy Reagan's advice and Just Say No. Unfortunately, this bias has a miniscule effect on the whole population cohort, I suspect anyway, because mostly they don't believe a word we say.
Here is the link to the Pandata presentation (which will also be included near the end of the final article).
https://rumble.com/v27ijyo-the-efficacy-illusion-mathew-crawford.html
The 2 most deadly things on the planet are despair and poverty and one begets the other.
Maybe you get tired of hearing it, but :Thank You,Mathew, for making this comprehensible.
I appreciate the suggestion to take it in small sections, digest it, and then add more. I tend to read so much and don't reflect enough. I jumble up all the stuff I read and sometimes lack an ability to explain it to others in a cohesive and precise manner. Precision does matter. I wish those in charge of "public health" also realized this fact.
I think you can include more per article. I was ready to dig into something substantial, and then ended suddenly. Also have you seen Prof. Norman Fenton's to and fro's with the UK ONS on the "healthy vaccine effect"?
If a contagious disease causes very few disease and deaths in the general population, then it is impossible to develop an effective prevention for the general population.
This premise is perfect for a highly profitable fraud.
That was what I was thinking three years ago.
Therefore, lack of efficacy is a foregone conclusion.
In fact, it would be a failure to the con-man if there was any efficacy from his product. He would be the laughing stock in the next world convention of con-men.
But I understand people like to believe in illusions as a means to avoid the pain of betrayal, deception, coercion, etc. That happens to me too. It's bad!
It's good to realize that overcoming illusions is good for you and everyone else.
Why do I care about vaccines or mRNA gene altering injections? If there is some deadly virus in the world, by the time any vaccine or mRNA injection can be put on the market, that virus will have done severe damage to humanity. Whether it takes you down is a matter of your immunity, risk factors and chance. Not some useless vaccination.
Unless that virus was known to be coming ahead of time and that speaks of a "forced virus" being introduced...likely invented by man, no drugs could be created fast enough to prevent transmission or infection. Thus, there would already be stockpiles of drugs ready to go to combat the manufactured virus. So, that would be a faked pandemic. It's purpose? That is the debate.
These medical clowns cannot predict with any accuracy what virus might be coming down the pike. It is 100% a scare tactic to install the fear of infection and death. You can not prove any vaccine/mRNA product is safe and effective nor can you know how a virus might act in the real world outside of a lab.
There is no question for me about taking ANY vaccinations or mRNA injections for anything at any time. Despite all the presumed "nasties" these clowns have invented, I am still alive and functioning relatively well in my early 70's without having taken any injections (except maybe a tetanus shot) in the last 50 years.
For me, I have determined, the safe and effective thing to do is try to stay healthy overall, without using ANY big pharma drugs and that is my plan not subject to alterations no matter how deadly they tell us a virus is. There is no debate needed as to how the data plays out or what it suggests. I couldn't care less as I have no control over anyone's choices at this point.
Recall that about 20 years ago we had SARS CoV-1 floating around and if that was even real, it likely mutated into millions of variants none of which took out mankind despite there not being any "safe and effective" vaccines or mRNA injections.
In your definition of "Subsequent Health Variable" you used the phrase "health intervention". That made me laugh! The reason is in my opinion it is actually an intervention in health. I think doctors do far more harm than good, so I would prefer the phrase "medical intervention".
Also, I have to point out that young people rarely "seek" medical care. In the case of the covid shots, they were coerced by school or work. Health is already on their side because they are young.
It's amazing in some ways to watch the endless discussions and array of hypotheses on "all things mRNA injections" and on a broader scale "all things Covid."
Most of these discussions begin with presuppositions that avoid the core realities of what we are up against. To put it simply injecting toxic crap into your body will always damage your body. To put faith in any of these so-called products and to believe anything the Pharma Industry asserts is a form of madness.
Covid Is Not An Epidemiological Story; Covid Is A Crime Story.
"Covid-19" is not a disease, it's a business plan.
They've been using this same pandemic investment and control strategy for over 30 years now- it's lucrative. Even most of the "top tier" Covid dissenters fell for this crap and parroted the pandemic lie.
Covid-19, the disease, is nothing more than a disease of ATTRIBUTION.
Covid-19, the media event, was the Trojan Horse constructed to usher in a complete transformation of our society.
Covid-19, the operation, was never an epidemiological event, it is a business model meant to increase the portfolios of the super-wealthy.
There is no such thing as “Covid 19” except as a criminal conspiracy.
I'm glad you brought this to light. It's an effect that, by default, will cast a shadow over all numbers they pump out. And we have uncovered several examples of statistical trickery and errors that compound HUB, but they require a deep dive analysis to uncover for each paper.
And it's also much easier for most people to accept than to say the CDC is corrupt.
The flu vaccine study was particularly interesting, in that it seemed to be more effective at preventing ailments other than the flu than the flu itself.
I haven't read this post but just noticed the 0% effectiveness image for Covid vaxes. That's how I'd put it. Zero percent effective. Numerous percentage points Harmful. It's about as effective as most other poisons are at doing Harm.
Looking forward to the rest of the series!
but there are also the people who took it because of mandates, to keep their job or not to be ostracized by their family or friends. I guess they are also healthier? or there are so few of them that it doesn't factor into this.
I’m trying to digest this in light of articles I’ve read arguing that unvaccinated children end up healthier than their vaccinated peers.
Thanks for all of your great work! How are you computing the correlation coefficients in the graph? Are you doing any searching across lags? I'm currently trying time series plots of excess deaths, vax update, and cases in each state, although going to the county level is likely best to avoid Simpson's Paradox cases between urban and rural. There is a large spike in deaths in Aug-Sep 2021 (Delta wave) across a lot of Southern and Mountain West states that does not occur at all in the Northeast, so we have direct confounding since the Northeast states tend to have the highest vax rates. It's not clear to me at all this is all explained by HUB.
I'm proposing a new hypothesis: The Intelligent Non-User Bias; INUB ("eye"NUB). Those of us smart enough to follow Nancy Reagan's advice and Just Say No. Unfortunately, this bias has a miniscule effect on the whole population cohort, I suspect anyway, because mostly they don't believe a word we say.