49 Comments
Nov 5, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

I hope all those preparing suits to stop the latest mandate are aware of your work.

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Some are, for certain.

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Nov 5, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

German MSM today 57% pop favour mandatory vaccination. It’s a matter of time. Memory loss perhaps one extra side effect you might want to put down there Mathew.

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It’s a good thing I wasn’t drinking anything when I read your opening line because I would’ve done a spit take on my keyboard 🤣

I’ll be curious to learn more about the pandemic wiki project when you’re ready :-)

Meanwhile, in case you missed it, I referenced the work you did in collaboration with Dr. Jessica Rose and Steve Kirsch in my last article (https://margaretannaalice.substack.com/p/letter-to-a-holocaust-denier), and I wanted to specially thank you for your rigorous research on VAERS. I’ve already alerted Steve, but if you could relay my gratitude to Dr. Rose and share the article with her (I cited her work extensively), I would appreciate that very much.

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Jessica deserves the most credit for the VAERS research. Steve did a lot, too. My tiny contribution was conversational only. I've focused on trying to take approaches others weren't taking on interesting problems.

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Good to know, and taking innovative approaches is crucial to solving problems! I especially appreciated that in-depth Google doc (https://docs.google.com/document/d/1stq2nHFjAcMHhxJhWiXa33wl6x0Ga1qdIxodZnFixRw/edit) you guys coauthored that I linked to in my article. I’m not sure if I got that from you or from a comment on another post, but it’s solid gold.

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Note: Steve really wrote that document. I'm dyslexic, so I couldn't do my work and read the whole thing, but recommended edits and discussed pieces. He based pieces of it on mine and Jessica's analysis, and his own synthesis of all the data as he saw it. I disagree with a few of his conclusions and interpretations, but ultimately agree with the big picture story told.

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Way to ruin my argument that dyslexia is why my math is terrible! :~)

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Steve is a POWERHOUSE! I wonder if he sleeps.

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Nov 5, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

In case if you wonder if there is any reaction in Germany to the "German news agency" that compiled a list: There is none, but that's normal because report24 is not a news outlet but a newsletter aggregator similar to substack.

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Court-Ordered Pfizer Documents They Tried To Have Sealed For 55 years Show 1223 Deaths, 158,000 Adverse Events in 90 Days Post EUA Release

The Most Shocking Document Release Of The Last 100 years

Celia Farber1 hr ago https://celiafarber.substack.com/p/court-ordered-pfizer-documents-they.

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Thank you. First time seeing this. Completely shocked at the true extent of this evil.

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Das ist schrecklich!

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I'M SORRY CALL ME DENSE...BUT I JUST CANNOT FOLLOW THE CHART ABOVE AND HOW IT WAS DEVELOPED. NEITHER CAN I FOLLOW THE "LET'S TALK ABOUT THE CHART..." IS THIS CASES AND DEATHS PER MILLION? IS IT NORMALIZED? IT MUST BE BUT WHERE DOES IT SAY THAT? HERE WHERE I AM WE'RE SEEING MANY HOSPITALIZATIONS DUE TO VACCINE ADVERSE EVENTS AND THOSE DEATHS ARE COUNTED AS UNVACCINATED BECAUSE THEY'RE UNDER 14 DAYS...SHOULD WE SAY THIS CHART DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR THOSE BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT IT APPEARS.

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In statistics, the 'correlation coefficient' ranges between -1 and 1. Zero means there is absolutely no correlation. A positive number means there is a positive correlation, the higher it is, the more correlation there are between the two variables, ie vax and cases (or deaths). If the vaccine was safe and effective in doing what it was supposed to do (although this purpose changed a few times since the rollout), both these lines should be around zero. The fact that the vax/death line keeps inching up (.05 to .2) is extremely troubling, this is a signal. I hope the predictions of some doctors that there will be mass die-offs within a few years are wrong.

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Sorry, too early for me and need coffee, both these lines should have an inverse relationship, so near -1. I guess I subconsciously set the bar low now for these clot shots.

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I'm not sure they should be near -1. But they should certainly be negative.

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Because this chart uses all cause mortality, all deaths are included. Blue line, As the number of people vaccinated rise, cases drop then rise and rise again. Red line, as the number of people vaccinated rise, mortality rates go up.

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I gather it’s the correlation R2 derived from death and the proportion of people vaccinated as per the Harvard study.. what it is saying is the correlation has been positive all through the year... if the vaccines has any beneficial impacts the R2 would be negative but it stays slightly positive all throughout the year..

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Nah, that can't be right, he clearly says it's correlated with vax dose 1 and COVID 19 deaths. Please explain it to us sir!

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Thank you! I've been meaning to do this same thing state by state in the US and then county by county! Have you already done that?

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I was previously working on a U.S. data set, but kept getting side tracked. Everything is moving so far. But I do have a couple of programmers working up correlations and scatter plots for U.S. data.

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I looked at Maryland counties/vax rates/cases/deaths but never got around to plotting. I didn't see a strong negative correlation between vax rates and cases/deaths but that was some months ago. Thanks for what you're doing.

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For those of us both math and statistics challenged, and perhaps a bit dyslexic as well ( 10 out of 4 are, (-; can you explain the graphic in layman’s terms.

What does each line represent?

Is one line cases, or Covid deaths, or all cause deaths.

( comments assert all of the above) How can it be more then one? What do the correlation numbers mean in absolute terms?

Certainly if the number of vaccines administered increase, the Covid deaths, cases, and excess mortality should all drop, but the ratios would vary for each category.

I don’t follow having no absolute number to the primary factor, number of vaccines.

If one said for every x vaccinations there was an increase or reduction in cases per x number of people, that could have some meaning. Yet one would need a separate line-color for cases, and deaths, and Covid deaths, and overall excess mortality, and the capacity to follow the numbers vaccinated.

Sorry to be slow.

All the Best…

David A

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And how was the time period factored in. Do total numbers vaccinated daily come from fail vaccinated numbers? ( I am trying to ascertain if the US six week delay in between shot one and 14 days post shot two category for “vaccinated” corrupts this data.) My guess is this is from a daily log of numbers vaccinated, and so bypassed the corrupting practice of wrongly categorized CDC practices.

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With any medication or medical procedure, these three essential requirements must be objectively and properly satisfied:

1. Safety

2. Effectiveness

3. Necessity

Of course, in practice another requirement is cost!

It seems to be me that we have been battling their lies by focusing on safety and effectiveness, to the exclusion of necessity. However, necessity is easy to prove/disprove without resorting to "data and science", and "studies". The following are my questions that I sent to authorities and "experts" regarding the necessity element. None could rebut.

1. Why would govts need to force people, directly and via proxy, to take something if they can prove it is safe and effective?

2. If the vax is so important and urgent, how do you explain universities like Brown, Cornell, and Rutgers allowing religious exemptions? In contrast, UNC, Iowa, and Arizona do not even have the vaccination mandate? [That reminds me of the masking exemptions for blacks in certain States in USA; and for the public sector employees in DC.]

3. Are you aware that some countries (Sweden, Denmark, Norway, Romania, etc) and some States in USA don't have compulsory vaccination policies? Are those said jurisdictions care less about their residents than others who do?

Since no one could answer these three questions, it evidently follows that the vaccines are NOT necessary.

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I wonder how you can control for time lag.

In most places it looks like first cases go up, then also deaths/vaccination go up. As if people see the cases curve, panic, and run to get vaccinated.

Assuming for a second that vaccines are useless (say it was a pat on the back rather than an injection: no harm, no benefit, silly assumption for sake of argument) wouldn't we still see deaths to correlate with vaccination as both would be driven by cases?

How could one falsify the alternative hypothesis that cases drive both deaths uptake and vaccination uptake?

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What are you looking at showing cases increasing first? ( Of course cases increase before deaths with an approximate two week lag)

Don’t forget, many US statistics have a six week delay in considering one vaccinated! This period happens to be the time of most crossover cases and most adverse events.

The vaccination program rolled out on the peak of a wave moving down. ( This, plus the 3 to 6 months of effective antibodies was steady vaccine praise. The media was doing little but promoting the glory of vaccines during this three to four month post vaccine role out period.

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OH MY GOSH. 75 deaths of European Athletes in past 5 months? Is that a typo?

When we will get a comparison to pre-COVID athlete deaths? I'm "dying" to know.

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Just to update - this is 75 cases of sudden collapse or cardiac issues in European athletes in the past 5 months. Apparently some deaths but I can't find exactly how many of those 75 cases died. In previous years, baseline sudden death in these cohorts of European athletes was 3 - 8/year. So we still can't quite compare apples to apples; anyone? anyone?

- from reading El Gato this morning I got these extra details -

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My understanding is the number is much higher wen you count deaths, medically-forced retirements, and cardiac events that were not deadly, into the 200s now I believe.

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Bill also understood female waistlines!

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You mean flattening the curve? ;-)

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No. He was not any in any old or big, flattened curves.

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Are you going to publish exactly how you got your table? I answered your challenge. You have failed to publish your detailed methods. By your own logic, your professional credentials are in question. Why should anyone trust your work, if you only publish the results which cannot be reproduced?

https://loren-56681.medium.com/for-mathew-crawford-ccc0c556ab09

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Included this one in my free list of daily anti-mandate newslinks: https://patrick.net/links

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I looked at this tweet on the athletes and then tried to find the article, and of course came instead first upon a "fact check." Unfortunately, it had some valid points, even though the bigger picture is lost in it all (also, "of course") -- that we need to figure out what the heck is going on and nobody is. Factcheck got this right: looks like not all of these were deaths nor had vaccination status revealed (https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2021/nov/19/blog-posting/dozens-prominent-athletes-did-not-die-heart-attack/). Here's the original article:

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Laurie, it is a straw man argument.

What is actually claimed in most reports is that the number of athletes collapsing on the field due to heart conditions has greatly increased. In every article I read it was NOT claimed that

1.every medical emergency was fatal.

2. That every athlete had been vaccinated.

3. That zero athletes collapsed in the past.

Please note the other bias in the fact check.

1.Zero effort to actually determine if any harmed athletes were not vaccinated, just a claim “ not all were vaccinated “ Um, hie many, how do they know? Was it all but one?

2. Zero effort to state and refute the real claim; “ The number of athletes having medical emergencies and or dying on the field has increased dramatically in correlation with said athletes getting vaccinated, and the primary cause of said increase, cardiology emergencies, is one of many morbidity mortality issues appearing in the Covid adverse events reports from around the world.

The only numbers I saw on this were for one European football league having a 500 percent increase in said events.

Bottom line, they refuted nothing cogent to the manifesting evidence of vaccine caused harm.

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Yes, yes, of course. I agree with you. I just think "our side" needs to not be sloppy, and that particular tweet in The Chloriquine Wars Part XV post was sloppy because it said all the players were vax'd and had died, when neither was 100% true.

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thasts facebook censorship paid by trudeau

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This is really perfect!

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