133 Comments

1. Yes, you do certainly deserve a rest!

2. No, the CDC's explanation for modelling the data due to privacy concerns is not "reasonable" in the slightest when the lowest ranked airport, bar and restaurant staff are entitled to know your same vax status on demand. Fortunately, enough of us can not only see their lies but have the courage to reveal them to others.

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"Privacy" is the same reason CDC and FDA give for not including race and ethnicity data in the public view of VAERS. I have been fighting them (as a journalist) for more than a year now with FOIA. They are pretending that they can't query their own database, which implies that they never have.

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"To the extent that there is modest efficacy in some of the stat lines, we see from the previous chart that the most healthy San Diegans are lumped more into the most vaccinated groups, while the least healthy are lumped into the least vaccinated groups. This confers a confounding advantage to the more vaccinated groups."

To supporting your point, I have updated my recent post with a graph for CA specifically showing CA counties with higher vax rates are richer, smoke less, less obese, have longer life expectancy, lower death rates, and are more physically active. I don't think it is too big of a leap to expect the vaccinated and unvaccinated populations within a county to exhibit those characteristics.

https://inumero.substack.com/p/we-dont-know-if-covid-vaccinations

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Mathew is with one 't'.

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Fixed, apologies

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This proves the vaccines aren't working, and you're afraid to debate me about it. :)

But seriously, great work as always. And please always put an exec summary of your article at the top and a summary at the bottom. It helps those of us who are time constrained. :)

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I'm moving toward a BLUF philosophy. I resisted it because my primary mission is teaching more than showing an exact result because I want more people to be able to think through things on their own. But perhaps for more important investigations like this one, I'll start with a summary.

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The slow steps are helpful for people like who will actually read and learn, but the quick summary actually helps to prepare the mind for the detail coming, so both are important.

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Yes, true, some of us need to see where we are headed before embarking on the journey. 🙂

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The last 2 years must have been excruciating for you.

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Haha, so true. Although not exactly for that reason, alone.

Initially I was naive as to the bigger picture of it all, although I found the identical responses worldwide and the gov overreach to be disturbing, and the lack of any public discussions about the pros and cons to be unexpected.

Now, seeing where we ARE headed, that is indeed excruciating.

Glad to know that in the end, the God of the universe rules and wins.

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I deeply appreciate your teacher’s heart and that you walk us through how you arrive at your conclusions.

That said, I am able to follow about 50% of what you say (my problem, not yours). So I agree w Steve that a summary pre and post would be helpful.

Bottom line my take on this post is that CDC is once again manipulating data, being dishonest about the nature/quality of data they have, and that it’s hard to trust much of anything they say nowadays. 😠

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You are an excellent teacher, thanks! x

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April 3 to 30, 2022 in BC 51% boosted. That is 3 shots. 14% unvaxed. COVID deaths, not all Cause mortality showed 76% of COVID deaths were boosted. Where as 7% were unvaxed. I’ve shown this to people. They look dumbfounded for a moment then most say ‘I’d need to see the ages of who died’. They say it triumphantly. I say ‘It’s a vaccine! If it worked, triple vaxed would be at 0%. If it were as good as being unvaxed it would show one third the amount of deaths in that category.’ Then I get ridiculous statements like where did these numbers come from? The BC Government. How accurate are they? Or, my fave. ‘Have these numbers been peer reviewed? I only read peer viewed studies.’ I say ‘they’re data, not studies. You don’t peer review data. Anyway the vax you took three times was not peer reviewed’. Which shocks them.

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"Have these numbers been peer reviewed?"

VE calculations are quite similar to problems I used to put on exams for middle schoolers.

The Religion of Peer Review is part of the reason we're in this mess. But that reminds me, I should go back and link to my data sources as I intended. I do want for people to be able to check my calculations and sources because that does add credibility (but that credibility can be added by people not in the Church of Procedural Science).

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Bobby was carefully looking over Sally’s numbers as she recorded them on her paper in pencil when the teacher came by and admonished “Ten points off your test grade, Bobby, for cheating.”

Bobby looked up at her, grinning, and proclaimed “Oh but I’m not cheating Mrs. Mathatakis. I’m peer reviewing! I’ll have to bring you up to the Math Board for undermining the process and being anti-science.”

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Yeah, the "Religion of Peer Review", like other religions "burns people at the stake"!

The "peers" tend to only approve that which fits the established natrative, strangling innovation and true progress, and fostering Groupthink. Remember the adage, "Science advances one funeral at a time" as the Old Guard "fossils" die off and make way for new ideas.

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

So aggravating. They'll keep coming up with some excuse not to see what's going on if they've already made up their minds or aren't ready to truly face it. 🙄

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". . . the vax you took three times was not peer reviewed’"

FUNNNNY!!!! That's a good one!

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I think the peer review thing is usually a cop out that someone uses that doesn't want to really look at the evidence, but they can refuse to do so while "sounding smart".

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“Peer review is thus like poetry, love, or justice.”https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1420798/

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

AMEN! OHH thank you so much for looking into San Diego County! I live in north San Diego county, and have been checking the data since the county started publishing. I had sent a text last Friday to my dad and his sister (both vaxxed and double/triple boosted) letting them know that "13/15" deaths were in the fully vaccinated". My Aunt, hasn't let myself, my husband or my teens get near her or my extended family because we are "unvaccinated". We all have superior immunity of course, from mild natural infection (Fall 2021). I find much pleasure in showing my family the facts. Thanks again MC!

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I also live in North County.....the CDC claim that 99.9% of the county is vaxxed is complete BS....I know far too many people around here that are not vaxxed and never will be (myself included).

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I call BS as well. My whole family is unvaxxed, and we know lots of other people in North County that aren’t having it. Plenty. CDC stats are basically propaganda at this point. F’in pathetic.

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

I live in San Diego and I am not vaccinated. It is never going to happen as I trust my immune system.

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SD is way more conservative than people think.

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

I am not conservative. I used to be liberal until they started coming after bodily autonomy. I lost so many friends, and some family. They still think I will infect them if I am around. I am a pariah.

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I’ve been a conservative amongst Liberals for decades. I’ve been insulted and mistreated for 25 or 30 years. You get used to it after awhile.

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Have you ever asked them how "effective" a "vax" is that you need multiple doses of it, AND you're still afraid of getting the virus??? ;)

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People in "Mass Formation Psychosis" are incapable of rational thought.

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From my experience talking to people around me they are MORE frightened now than before vaxes were available.

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That's interesting. Any indication why they are more frightend now? Maybe because it's dragging on so long, that they were promised the "vaccines" would end the pandemic, and they didn't?

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Probably a Combination of things. However, I do think the poisons are messing with peoples moods. And general mental equilibrium. A friend told me his memory is bad. But he’s super busy with numerous projects. I said ‘at some point you have too much in your head and day to day stuff gets shunted aside.’ He said ‘yeah, true. But I left the house without my pants on yesterday.’ That’s not being too busy.

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Yes... they made quite a few promises, and NONE have come true. And, now we know that the OPPPOSITE are true... I've been watching the Corona Investigative Committee's sessions, and their latest (#116) was last Friday, and Dr. Ariyana Love, a naturopath, was on and had a LOT to say re. what the "vaxes" really are doing, and some ways to reverse some of it. https://odysee.com/@Corona-Investigative-Committee:5/s116en:b - some very scary shit.

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Man, that's sad - so very sad.

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

I suspect that you are accepted and not judged on this and many other Substacks. Maybe not comforting, but not a pariah.

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She is welcome here.

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Five years from now you probably will still be around and they very well may not. Have you seen the results of autopsies on the vaccinated showing all of the autoimmune damage not apparent while still alive, until their tissues were put under a microscope? Or that 90+% of corpses of the vaccinated that are being embalmed that have massive fibrous blood clots clogging up their major vessels? None of the vaccinated are "out of the woods" yet. Better to be a live pariah than a dead groupie!

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Do you listen to the Dark Horse podcast with Bret Weinstein and Heather Heying? If not you should check it out. They’re also in the “politically homeless” camp.

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It's not really a conservative / liberal thing...

It's more a mentally deficiency vs common sense thing.

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LOTS of military!

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IMO.

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You can edit a post by clicking on the three dots. That saves chaining the responses.

Much of San Diego is conservative, yes---at least by California standards.

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Heck, Ketanje Brown Jackson is Conservative by California standards...

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It’s weird. That doesn’t work on my feed. I wish I could edit. (Which auto corrected to ‘have a fit’ but I caught it in time..)

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I don’t have that function either, maybe it’s an iPhone thing. :-)

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I am on an old Samsung phone.

At the end of each post, I see a "heart" (like), "reply", "Gift a subscription" "Collapse" and 3 dots.

In your own comment, clicking on the dots will give you an "edit comment" function.

Clicking on the dots in anyone else's comment gets you to the "report comment" function.

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San Diego used to be Republican. The US Navy and US Marines have a big presence here.

The GOP National Convention was held in San Diego on Aug. 15, 1996, Things changed.

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I was at a biz lunch in SD some years back. Trump had just been elected. I’m a Canadian. I said, naively, ‘so what do you think of your new Prez?’ It was like I asked everyone if they were circumcised. Dead silence. And sort of shocked fear on peoples faces. I said ‘I know nothing about him but I like him. If he does what he says he is going to you guys will boom’. People looked around, leaned forward and whispered ‘I like him too’. It was really weird. Which we talked about. They were frightened. Genuinely. Fast forward a year or more. One of the lunch people was at a party in Del Mar. 20 people. All

Wealthy. Probably 8 Teslas of the ten couples etc. The whole party Trump was being attacked. Mostly two people doing it but seemingly everyone in on it. The person who had been at lunch had enough and said ‘I like him. I think he’s doing a good job.’ Stunned silence. The hostess rolled him apart. Then, someone else said ‘I like him too. Invited for him. I will again.’ Again the hostess, divorced, and her friend another divorced woman jumped on him. Eventually they took a vote. Eighteen of the twenty were pro Trump. The only two who weren’t were the divorced hostess and her divorced friend. When the party ended as my friend left and walked to his car two other couples came to him and his wife and thanked him for saying what he had. They said ‘until you spoke up I thought it was me against everyone’.

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Very interesting experience! Until the Trump phenomenon, I thought my husband and I were the last two people on Earth who weren't buying the "Socialist/Woketopia Dream". Seriously. When Trump was elected, I realized that no, we weren't in the tiny minority the MSM want us to believe we're in, and now I know we're in the vast majority...no matter what games are played at the ballot drop boxes.

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My worry is that these psyops are so large that there is little way to know if Trump is involved. When he backed down on HCQ and promoted the vaccines, that tilted me further in the direction of him being a stage managed player.

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Aug 8, 2022·edited Aug 8, 2022

Points to remember re Trump:

He isn't very bright.

He got rid of the people who actually were devoted to him like Steve Bannon and Mike Flynn.

He's known to be a germophobe.

He trusted Mike Pence and put Pence in charge of the Corona response.

Pence is firmly in the establishment. He has no allegiance to Trump and I'm sure he was co-operating with the plans to roll Trump out of office. Recall it was conflicts with Pence that got both Flynn and Bannon booted.

Fauci is a master at sucking up and manipulation.

Trump was had. They told him that if he didn't do the vaccine program he'd look like a weak leader. The media hounded him for not doing enough. His ego made him follow along.

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The "Is Trump smart or dumb?" question is perplexing. He is so out of the ordinary that it will never be easy to answer.

When I worked on Wall Street, I became friends with a man whose brother worked for Trump. The two brothers were without a doubt geniuses, at least of the three sigma kind: one a mathematician, and one a lawyer, and one of the better word smiths I've met. The lawyer who worked for Trump believed that Trump was very smart, and admired him as such. Of course, Trump's business IQ might be 70 points higher than his general IQ, due to training and experience, and it may be the case that somebody working in his organization self-deceives about the matter. I really don't know. I had the chance to meet Trump twice, but turned it down both times, not knowing how much I'd have been interested in getting a sense of the stuff he's made of.

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Interesting. I've never met him either. My assessment of his intelligence is based on listening to him talk. If he is smart it isn't demonstrated verbally. I've read that he doesn't read, that he watches TV for all his information. That behavior isn't generally associated with high intelligence.

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"I've read that he doesn't read, that he watches TV for all his information."

That is what the talking heads at the minor league media franchises tell us.

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Trump is very bright. But he’s unorthodox. He believed Pence. But most of us did. Pence is a snake. They played his germaphobia, for sure. And one other thing. He’s an Ironman. He has a cast iron nervous system. I doubt he’s ever been sick. You have to have had a few bad health years to understand how incompetent the medical field really is. He likely believed they were all pretty decent and understood what they were doing. I knew they weren’t. But I learned it from five tough years. He got played. But no one knew the evil that was there. I didn’t. He got an amazing amount done considering no one was on his side. And hundreds were pretending to be. They wouldn’t still be after him if he was part of them. He’d have played his part and they’d be GW Bushing him now.

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👆 This! Trump was but one man, with nearly the entire DC and propaganda machines working against him. He's got to be pretty smart and savvy to have come out alive, but he believes in hiring experts. One can't be an executive of anything and believe they can personally manage and know all things at all levels. Get real.

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"He's known to be a germophobe". Actually being a germaphobe makes perfect sense these days. Also, he is a non-drinker and a non-smoker. That seems to be pretty smart. Smarter than Barack Hussein Obama who is a smoker. His wife and family are still at his side as is Peter Navarro. He did make huge mistakes with those traitors Pence and Fauci.

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I don’t think anyone could possibly have imagined the entire medical establishment all around the world, nearly every government, the media, every PHO etc all would be involved in culling the worlds population. I’m sure he realized he was boxed in and assumed there would be a standard ineffective flu type vaccine and everything would go back To normal. I have a lot of cynicism towards modern medicine and it never occurred to me we would see pure evil playing out.

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Agree, Mathew. He is an actor and was assigned a role. Probably not done yet, either, unless his health fails. Thanks for all your great work! I’ve learned so much from you. This one really resonated as I live in North County San Diego. I logged all the county statistics for two years on my own hard copy and generated crude second derivatives of “cases”, hospitalizations, and deaths in order to anticipate trends, as it was one way to have a sense of what was happening. A friend, MD and MPH, worked for the county health dept to help with data collection and contact tracing. She and her fellow worker, another MD, had many suggestions to improve data collected and make it more meaningful. All nixed by her manager who declared: “Just follow the CDC guidelines!”

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He was going to appoint RFK Jr to a new position of "vaccine safety czar", but after getting a visit from some prominent leaders from Pfizer canned the plan.

But I suspect the reason the establishment went after him so hard is because he's a wild card...outside of the loop.

I don't like Trump, but think the "orange man bad" hysteria is insane. I'd much rather have a leader like Tulsi or DeSantis.

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Tulsi is playing her sex card and showing up on Fox news a lot. Many of us old guys might vote for her, it would be nice change from that old hag Pelosi.

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But I suspect the reason the establishment went after him so hard is because he's a wild card...outside of THEIR loop. They want go after you and us next.

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Hillary was supposed to be the 1st WEF Prez. When Trump won, the WEF paid for 4 years of prosecuting Trump. The WEF was pissed for losing 4 years of progress toward their goal of CONTROL. They pulled out all the stops in the 2020 election. Now Biden became the 1st WEF Prez. A puppet allowing Obama, Soros and Schwab to run the country. They all hate America and Caucasians. Google Biden's speech in 2015 about replacing Caucasians. Tucker Carlson had a show on that. Harris is supposed to be the new WEF puppet. The people really pulling the strings are the united Billionaires of both parties but mostly Dems: www.weforum.org/partners These people fund the WEF to the tune of 500 million a year, with 200 million in the bank. That buys a lot of politicians. Next are the poor - the WEF Soldiers: www.maloneinstitute.org Mostly politicians like Newsom and Trudeau. Trudeau doesn't have the 1st and 2nd Amendments to worry about - he wants Totalitarianism. Newsom is trying to find a way...

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Politics used to be a side show for us. We’d talk about it every few years. That was reasonable because if you didn’t read the papers you couldn’t tell From Policy alone who was in, and who was out. Usually. All Parties had their rhetoric but they basically acted much the same as each other. That changed with Bush, but especially so with Obama. I’m in Canada. Then with Trump it ratcheted up hugely.

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

So the CDC does not use actual vaccination data in its many reports, it just estimates the vaccination rates? Despite the many millions spent on databases, state registries and reporting systems and elect medical records?

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"People move around. It gets confusing."

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It’s pretty obvious they were estimating case rates too. No way they were doing proper randomized sampling daily everywhere. They were extrapolating. Actually they were saying what they wanted to convey. “We are doing a great job!” Cases go down. “You all must be masked and vaxed.” Cases go up.

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Case rates were also manipulated by fraudulent use of PRC cycles.

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Aug 8, 2022Liked by Mathew Crawford

Astrid Stuckelberger's words keep coming to mind. "The data is murky." By design, no doubt.

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2020 year of "pandemic" global death rate 0.76% same as pervious two non-pandemic years.

Canadian YoY mortality increase 2020 year of "pandemic" 0.04% same as previous two non-pandemic years.

Anyone have the 2021 global death rate and Canadian YoY data handy?

That's a simple way of seeing what is effective at unsafe.

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We have a dozen simple ways at this point. I want to keep churning out more because each different vector of approach has the chance to catch a different mind and shake it loose.

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The one thing that stands out for me is the “modeling” of data. They’ve been doing it since at least 1999 maybe even before.

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Matt,

This great piece convinced me to renew and support you work. Well done.

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Thank you. Your support is much appreciated.

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I followed the LA County data religiously for most of 2020, then in early 2021 I got red pilled when I found the dark horse podcast and RFK Jr. LA County was manipulating the data back then, and so was CA at the state level. Nothing but BS with those so called "estimates," they just make things up as they go, reporters would ask questions at the end of their daily briefings, and the officials would just dance around it. I tried for months to have honest discussions with the people in my circle, but people just follow blindly, and even when they suspect it's BS, they still go and get vaccinated. Just like what you said about people in SD, they are too busy working to pay attention. The Trump hate in Los Angeles is hilarious, too, but there are way more Trump supporters than anyone realizes, they're all just afraid to admit it because they feel outnumbered. It's not a myth that people in Los Angeles are fake and shallow. I left Los Angeles last month and moved to Idaho. Can't wait to see what real Americans are about.

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If nothing else it shows the vaccines don’t work. If they did the boosted group would be at zero percent.

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They would at least be at at a LOWER percent.

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A real vaccine should be approaching zero if what we’ve been told for 70 years about vaccines had any validity. Which it doesn’t.

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Vermont has been doing this all along. They say that 100% of 70 and up are at least double jabbed - well, in our potluck group and in our tiny town, we know over 10 people alone over 70 that haven't taken one jab. They then show all their statistics as a per 100,000 population and the denominator is false. Everyday I learn of more people in Vermont that haven't taken any shots so it is clear their statistics are not correct.

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I met someone who claims to be close friends with someone working in Doug Ford’s office. He is the Premier of Ontario.

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This person claimed when they were saying 70% double vaxed privately they thought they were at 50%. They were lying. I doubt anything they say.

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Hi, I am so glad to hear that. From Missouri I went to UVM (1981) graduate. Stayed til 1988 and the people I met and knew there wouldn't typically seem to be the jabbed kind. My only thought was maybe so many transplants from NY & MA upset the statistical apple cart. The Vermonters would would have been thoughtfully distrusting of this new Mrna technology.

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Absolutely not the case. Vermonters ate up the propaganda - highest compliance in the country overall. That still doesn't mean that their statistics are accurate but we even have the highest percentage of babies getting the shots. It has been very hard being an unvaccinated person in Vermont over the past year and a half. There are still some venues that require proof of booster.

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Outstanding digging.

Obviously there are quite a few people involved in this scam... so I am struggling to understand why they go along with what is clearly a failed and deadly 'vaccine'.

I think vaccine injuries are covered up (including by those who are injured) because people believe that they are collateral damage in the war against 'a virus that could wipe us off the planet'...

But this is different. They are defending - by the use of outright fraud - these kill shots... and they are outright lying by claiming it's a pandemic of the vaxxed.

Yes it might be 'their salaries depend on them committing fraud' but I am sure this is happening across America (and the world) so how is it that not a single person is blowing the whistle.

Have then been convinced that what they are doing is the right thing... that to not do this would result in a far more worse outcome?

What could they fear so much that would make them willing participants in what is mass murder.

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