"Anyone telling you that HCQ “failed” in clinical trials does not understand statistics on a basic level or else they understand them well enough to craft a lie."
Or they don't care what the truth is and pump out propaganda without any thinking like cult members who preach about the one true path to salvation. As a society we underestimate how much stupidity factors into public discourse & how little intelligence or achievement matter in designating policy experts.
Agreed. Incompetence goes a long way, especially in the absence of good leadership. Without good structures / leadership, a group of otherwise intelligent, well-intentioned, hardworking people can be collectively incompetent to a mindboggling degree.
This is epic . Skimmed through quickly. My intent will be to go back and actually click every single link along the way. I only knew of Boulware as the guy currently running a trial of dearly treatment drugs that included Ivermectin. It'll be interesting to read in detail his part in the HQC wars.
I thought he was a genuine actor and was optimistic his study of ivermectin would show some effect. They hadn't stopped it early. But from this portrayal I guess its safer to assume that the trial will somehow find a way to come short of statistical significance.
I've had this notion that it would just be a matter of time before the truth on early treatment would be allowed. Though apparently if it can be buried forever they'll try to bury it forever.
If any given treatment led to a 10% fall in the severity of an illness then with things like flu and Covid that can be massively clinically significant in the numbers who end up hospitalized and dead. These RCTs are also useless for evaluating multi treatment protocols where agents are working together in synergy.
Dec 22, 2021·edited Dec 22, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford
Perhaps not relevant to this particular article but I'll ask here anyways:
When all cause mortality was "updated" in the phizer trial to 21vs17 placebo deaths, was that after the placebo arm was blown up and therefore not balanced cohorts anymore? Thanks
Yes, the person-days spent in the arms started to diverge. They never shared the information for independent calculations to be done, but some envelope math says low or negative efficacy. The later updated numbers were even worse.
Until “Fake Vaccine Card,” “Fake Vaccine Passport,” and “Fake Vaccine Mandate” become official designations I will be using them in my imagination going forward
We have been in back and forths with Cornell University Provost and President regarding the legality and science of the mRNA injections and their mandates.
They are refusing to discuss the legalities and open to debating the science.
Next step is an attempt to get them to have a public debate w/scientists on the merits/dangers of the mRNA "vaccines."
Does anybody here have direct contacts with any doctors/scientists (e.g. Peter McCullough) who would be willing/able to be involved in such a debate should Cornell agree to this.
We are looking for someone who is especially strong on the science of these injections.
your graphs need titles and a better labeling. Especially the "Hydroxychloroquine Early Treatment and Pre Exposure ..." graph. People need to understand the graph quickly - otherwise they give up trying.
'a body of evidence like this' - meaning that last chart? Well I might not have a brain because I completely fail to understand it. Any chance of an explanation?
"Anyone telling you that HCQ “failed” in clinical trials does not understand statistics on a basic level or else they understand them well enough to craft a lie."
Or they don't care what the truth is and pump out propaganda without any thinking like cult members who preach about the one true path to salvation. As a society we underestimate how much stupidity factors into public discourse & how little intelligence or achievement matter in designating policy experts.
Agreed. Incompetence goes a long way, especially in the absence of good leadership. Without good structures / leadership, a group of otherwise intelligent, well-intentioned, hardworking people can be collectively incompetent to a mindboggling degree.
This is epic . Skimmed through quickly. My intent will be to go back and actually click every single link along the way. I only knew of Boulware as the guy currently running a trial of dearly treatment drugs that included Ivermectin. It'll be interesting to read in detail his part in the HQC wars.
I did a piece on Boulware & HCQ here. https://communityoperatingsystem.wordpress.com/2020/06/20/is-folic-acid-an-effective-treatment-for-covid-19/
Yes, I read your article and kept it in my notes. Thank you.
Did you read any of my other stuff. I thought I did a good piece on early treatment on March 19th 2020 which was from an IT systems perspective. https://communityoperatingsystem.wordpress.com/2020/03/19/treat-covid-19-and-interstitial-pneumonia-early-at-home/
I also did a recent piece on how Pfizer's trial were impossible administrate and impossible to audit.
https://communityoperatingsystem.wordpress.com/2021/12/05/pfizers-rct-administrative-nightmare/
I honestly don't know what I have and haven't read of your writing on the whole, but I will take a look at these links.
That was a fantastic read. Thanks!
I thought he was a genuine actor and was optimistic his study of ivermectin would show some effect. They hadn't stopped it early. But from this portrayal I guess its safer to assume that the trial will somehow find a way to come short of statistical significance.
I've had this notion that it would just be a matter of time before the truth on early treatment would be allowed. Though apparently if it can be buried forever they'll try to bury it forever.
The ivermectin study was a crap protocol. Designed to fail.
If any given treatment led to a 10% fall in the severity of an illness then with things like flu and Covid that can be massively clinically significant in the numbers who end up hospitalized and dead. These RCTs are also useless for evaluating multi treatment protocols where agents are working together in synergy.
Always keep the well-known adage about statistics.
Anyway, statistics are racist and bigoted!
Great stuff!!
Perhaps not relevant to this particular article but I'll ask here anyways:
When all cause mortality was "updated" in the phizer trial to 21vs17 placebo deaths, was that after the placebo arm was blown up and therefore not balanced cohorts anymore? Thanks
Yes, the person-days spent in the arms started to diverge. They never shared the information for independent calculations to be done, but some envelope math says low or negative efficacy. The later updated numbers were even worse.
Please send to Dr. Raoult!!
Best analysis that you have ever done, Bravo, please send to Raoult!!
I passed it along via an intermediary. I hope he will enjoy his appearance in the story.
After Raoult, I admire you the most, keep it up!!
Now I have to find ways to be a better human being in order to deserve that.
I started following Dr. Raoult in March of 2020 and you have captured the essence of the good and the bad actors the best of anyone since then!!
Yep..........forever!!
Wonderful analogy. “Big Tony” lies and lies because he can. He single-handedly destroyed “science.”
Until “Fake Vaccine Card,” “Fake Vaccine Passport,” and “Fake Vaccine Mandate” become official designations I will be using them in my imagination going forward
We have been in back and forths with Cornell University Provost and President regarding the legality and science of the mRNA injections and their mandates.
They are refusing to discuss the legalities and open to debating the science.
Next step is an attempt to get them to have a public debate w/scientists on the merits/dangers of the mRNA "vaccines."
Does anybody here have direct contacts with any doctors/scientists (e.g. Peter McCullough) who would be willing/able to be involved in such a debate should Cornell agree to this.
We are looking for someone who is especially strong on the science of these injections.
Agreed Steve Kirsch https://stevekirsch.substack.com/p/why-jake-tapper-will-never-agree?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjo3MzQ2NTE0LCJwb3N0X2lkIjo0NTg0NzQ3OCwiXyI6IkVWc2N1IiwiaWF0IjoxNjQwMTkyNjM0LCJleHAiOjE2NDAxOTYyMzQsImlzcyI6InB1Yi01NDgzNTQiLCJzdWIiOiJwb3N0LXJlYWN0aW9uIn0.CZwW4yofeW_b1UouRB6qSZMq6NfT3p8rbtY47ilwCQQ
I'm on that team. I have approaching 2000 pages of notes to bring to the table.
Anyone who wants to help can join Operation Uplift and help fill out the evidence at campfire.wiki.
Allen, get in contact with Steve Kirsch. He has a team of scientists ready to debate CDC et al.
your graphs need titles and a better labeling. Especially the "Hydroxychloroquine Early Treatment and Pre Exposure ..." graph. People need to understand the graph quickly - otherwise they give up trying.
Excellent!
After Raoult I admire you the most!!
'a body of evidence like this' - meaning that last chart? Well I might not have a brain because I completely fail to understand it. Any chance of an explanation?
I added a link. Hopefully that will help.
Ah... so each green bar represents a study.
Correct. Red bars would too, but there were no studies to that point where the treatment group did worse for the most severe endpoint studied.