Leaked Pfizer Post-Marketing Safety Report

The Vaccine Wars Part III

Edit: With the hindsight of morning and communication with others, I know now that the document I discuss below was released as part of Aaron Siri’s FOIA request.

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Late yesterday, I received a purportedly leaked copy of a Pfizer post-marketing safety report, marked confidential and dated April 30, 2021 and tracks adverse events through February 28, 2021 of a cohort of 42,086 case reports of patients who suffered post-injection adverse events. The 38-page report, if validated, contains Pfizer's internal knowledge of an extremely serious number of illnesses, injuries, and deaths associated with its injectable product recipients (call them "vaccines" if you like). Note: I cannot yet vouch for the authenticity of the document, but in my opinion, it looks legitimate.

Before we dig into the details, let's take the conservative approach and note that this purported internal study does not involve investigations of causal associations. I will discuss some basic computations along the way, but take them with an appropriate grain of salt. There are a lot of missing details from which to make important leaps. As such, consider my computations to be "envelope math", if soberly performed.

The crux of the report is the table on page 7:

It appears that roughly half of the reported AEs are serious AEs (SAEs).

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Vaccine Associated Enhanced Disease (VAED)

I am inclined for the moment to take as face-value the lack of detection of VAED as my opinion has veered further and further toward the belief that these injectable products simply don't interact much with the virus in most individuals (perhaps in the immunocompromised who can carry the virus for months, we see evolutionary pressures that may lead to variants of interest).

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U.S. vs. Abroad

In Table 7, there are 69 cases of confirmed (57) or probable (12) cases of acute kidney injury and renal failure, but that includes none at all in the U.S., strangely. A third of the cases (23) were fatal at the time of the report with only 10 of the cases resolved.

The lack of cases for these SAEs is entirely unlike the rest of the report where U.S. cases are the most or second-most common. Are these cases being hidden in the U.S.?

On the other hand, the U.S. topped the charts in medical errors, and by a wide margin [also unlike the rest of the report]. Huh.

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Mortality Envelope Math

There appear to be 20,000 or so cases of SAEs in the report, and in the initial Pfizer trial, 0.7% of those injected suffered one or more SAEs. I suspect this percentage is low given the extremely healthy nature of the participants in the initial Pfizer trial (based on all-case mortality rates and cardiac events in both arms), but it will do for some basic envelope math. 

20,000 is 0.7% of 2,850,000 [injected individuals], give or take, so I take that as the population reach of this particular report. The 1223 fatalities represents 430 deaths per million individuals injected, which falls very near numbers that I have computed several times over (here, here, here, and elsewhere).

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What Pfizer Sees: Nothing. Move Along, Civilian.

With no calculations given, the report author(s) pats the corporate overlords on the back.

This is followed by a nine page list of the various adverse events compiled just from the cases evaluated.

Sorry for any typos. I was not aware of my possession of the materials until well after midnight. Consider my brief reading and analysis rough. I will report further if the totality of the content gets more interesting after I give it a more careful reading and talk it through with other analysts. And if you read some of the several other excellent analysts and reporters cover the topic, it should not be surprising if they make additional commentary where their eyeballs prove superior to mine.