52 Comments

Great idea!

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Sep 19, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

Mandate autopsies.

Too simple a solution?

Or too 'inconvenient'?

Kinda like recording the CTs of billions of PCR tests over the last 18 months. Can you imagine what THAT data would be telling us? We would have had the most comprehensive set of data on testing for any 'disease' in human history. I wonder why it wasn't done ... [sarc]

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more relevant is the literature from verifiable voting: without revealing much about who voted for whom, use cryptography to ensure that the voters can check that their votes were correctly counted. The same idea can be used for ensuring that tallies of medical outcomes, e.g. deaths after Covid or Covid vaccines, outcomes in medical trials e.g. death/ICU admission are verifiable and not fudged by pharma companies or governments too invested in some narratives. there were twitter reports of trial participants claiming that the trialists refused to acknowledge/register their adverse effects: nobody knows whether they were bots, lying humans, or honest humans. example project: https://www.cs.cornell.edu/projects/civitas/

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Sep 19, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

I had never really thought much about crypto or blockchain before but after all the crazy stuff that's been going on with the covid pandemic, I now see why we badly need it.

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It's happening in de-fi. Maybe it's a much simpler system because it is basically accounting and there are many fewer input devices. I imagine a de-med system would be complex, with multiple input type devices per user, and so much more info to track besides stats, but it would have such a great benefit. I fear that the push for improved medical recording that gained so much emphasis under the Obama administration will lead to huge centralization and control. The system you describe would contribute to securing our freedom. Hopefully.

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Sep 19, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

What stops one entity from buying the data off you and then reselling to other entities or even just leaking it?

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I found your stack via Larry Turner's stack. Drat. My life is now officially consumed by Substack and my family are starting to look at me askance. Much of it goes way over my head but I endeavour to understand, out of a desperate bid for self-preservation within a storm of darkening forces. I look forward to reading what I can. That said, and on this piece, I am at the point of wanting to devolve from currency altogether. I am too old for this bitcoin stuff, and it leaves me anxious and perplexed. We have a friend who has jumped in, feet first. He is consumed by it and talks in foreign Blockchainese. I'm tending more towards the point of wanting to withdraw all of my money (what there is of it) altogether, and stuffing it under my mattress. To be used only on a rainy day. And then to launch into a life of self-sufficiency and payment-in-kind. I can understand swopping a cabbage or two for a bottle of honey better than I can the world of blockchains!

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Not sure why it is so scandalous to start measuring for vaccine efficacy at 14 days. Immunologically it is known that vaccines take time to kick in immune protection since, unlike treatment like say monoclonal antibodies, they stimulate the immune system to act so you don't have immediate protection. Looking at Kaplan-Meier curves you can see the placebo and vaccine groups are nearly identical for 10-14 days when you can see the vaccine protection kick in and the differences manifest:

Would be easier if I could post plots here -- but you can find the Pfizer one on page 30 of the FDA report: https://www.fda.gov/media/144245/download and for Moderna, on page 28 of their FDA report: https://www.fda.gov/media/144434/download

Now, if they ignored adverse events between days 0-14 after vaccine dosing, then I am 100% with you -- that would be inappropriate and lead to substantial bias that would suppress the type of effects you are convinced are occurring -- but they didn't -- they do count all adverse events during that time period.

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