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Russians (I believe that includes Lavrov) have called Americans "non agreement-capable" ("недоговороспособны".) While it's mostly propagandistic rhetoric for the internal consumption, it rings true.

With various deep-state tribes at each others throat, decisions made by the inscrutable and opaque administrative state, and optical political changes every 2-4 years, America might have trouble keeping its side of any bargain.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 25, 2023

That the Stavka consider the West "non agreement capable" is not mere propaganda, it is a fact.

Putin has been calling for negotiations since 2014, and still is to this day, all of which have been spurned by the West. As far as the Minsk agreements, Merkel admitted bad faith to Die Zeit (Dec 21, 2022), “The 2014 Minsk agreement was an attempt to give Ukraine time" (to arm). Since the West has been sending tens of billions of arms to Ukraine, why would anyone believe they would want to stop the slaughter? Twice Boris Johnson has been sent to Ukraine to end talk of negotiations. Note that our sending arms against Russia makes us a legitimate target, as are the Netherlands, Germany, and Poland.

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"All" politicians are commanded by the ruling class to do or say whatever they do or say. Putin and Biden et al are no exception. So what they do and say is for show, in order to divide the rest of us into opposing camps supporting one puppet or another.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

That is not so true with Russia. The best way to understand Russian politics is simply to listen to what they say. The Russians have been saying for many years that the expansion of NATO into Ukraine is unacceptable. As Kissinger stated about Russia, "Nyet Means Nyet." Many top US strategic thinkers (Kennan, Matlock, Perry, McNamara, Hill, Kissinger, Burns) have been warning the neocons about this, and have been ignored.

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Russia went along with the pandemic scam. Did they not? Russia went along with the fake war against Ukraine in order to help divert public attention away from the huge numbers of Covid vax deaths and injuries. Did they not?

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

They went to war reluctantly against Ukraine because NATO expanded to their borders with multiple bio-weapon labs up against that border as well as nukes with a five-minute flight time to Moscow. They also intervened (in the Russian-speaking Donbas region) to stop the more than 14,000 Russian-speaking Ukrainian deaths killed by the neo-Nazi Ukrainian Army shelling since 2014.

Nothing to do with covid. Covid, by the way, was not entirely a scam. Remember that it was a bioengineered weapon that should not be taken lightly.

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Hi Budd. Any relation to Billy Budd?

What's wrong with the analysis of the Ukraine War at http://mileswmathis.com/minime2.pdf? You don't mean you know more than that guy, do you?

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War is never reluctant for those who know exactly why the war is started.

All wars are economic wars..... the countries and their governments are largely funded by the same financial entities....It is called playing 'both sides' it always makes for big profits and more control if you can get that gig, and that in turn also means ALL wars are wars on flesh and blood men, women and children be it war on poverty, inflation, drugs, obesity, covid, crime, communism, terrorism...etc....etc.....you just have to ask yourself..."who benefits from all of this"

The regular everyday man and women NEVER benefit from war and it is not the everyday man and women who start the war.

War is a Crime win or lose.

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Trump was for ending all wars and promoted peace.

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Lets, Trump is an actor, like most politicians, and a puppet, like "all" politicians. Did he not say whatever his advisors/handlers told him to say? And were his advisors not servants of the ruling class? He called Hilary crooked in public, but admitted in private that they're close friends. The ruling class used Trump to herd "conservatives" in two directions (pro- and anti-Trump) and to help herd "liberals" in other directions. They wanted liberals to take the Covid vaxes, so they enthroned Biden instead of Trump, since liberals were starting to resist the Covid narrative under Trump.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 26, 2023

Yes, that is correct. He avoided war with Iran after they shot down our deliberately provocative drone flying up the Persian Gulf even though his top military brass screamed for war and had a strike package ready to go. He stood up to them, asked the simple question "Was anyone killed?" (No) and avoided a war the military had all planned and ready to go.

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>is not propaganda, it is a fact.

Something does not have to be untrue to be propaganda.

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No thanks to Mr. Potatohead in office who is an ILLEGAL OCCUPANT that we don't support.

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Of course he is not truthful. He is a diplomat.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

That's an over generalized statement. What if telling the truth suits your purposes? Diplomats and PR guys and politicians and even used car sales people often do tell the truth. Believe it or not.

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Lavrov is considered just about the most respected professional Diplomat in the world.

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As in professional actor.

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Acting is for show. Diplomacy has purpose.

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Fake diplomacy is acting and its purpose is to fool the public and influence one section of the public to oppose one or more other sectors of the public. That way, the public is divided against itself and is much less serious a threat to the ruling class.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

He did some amateur acting in college but diplomats are very serious worldly people with serious briefs. They have a detailed understanding of big picture nuances and a strategy to make specific things happen that benefit their people and their government, and also the world. Believe it or not almost everyone in the world is good-hearted; there really aren't all that many psychopaths running the world.

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The psychopaths running the world don't let good-hearted people join them in running the world.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

Heaven help us poor Westerners. The Europeans, British, Australian, Canadian, and American politicians and bureaucrats, couldn't negotiate to buy a used car from a trailer park hick at the right price.

We'll be lucky if we end up sharing a 'retreat with great potential' in the South Pole. Reliant upon the Indians and Chinese to provide the scarves and mittens.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 25, 2023

Having been involved in hundreds of high-dollar negotiations with people from around the world, success for a Western negotiator is breaking even. Indians, Russians, and Chinese are the most difficult, in that order. You will not win. At most you'll leave hoping for some future benefit, which you can sell to your boss.

The Indians lowball and don't move - your winning strategy is to show them the door. If they come back to the table it will be with the exact same, or else lower, lowball offer so don't let them back in. The way to win is to not lose. A high point of my life was buying a $70 carpet from an Indian couple off Craigslist for $50. I won that by showing them the money, knowing they were moving in just a couple of days, and convincing them I was ready to walk.

The Russians start strong and stay strong for days until you realize they're sidetracking you over some concession they don't care about just to wear you down. When you start showing frustration and are ready to give up they begin the real negotiation, which includes additional interminable tangents. Since they make up bogus non-negotiables and are hardcore on everything you don't know where your leverage is.

The Chinese don't so much negotiate the contract, which they may not have read, as first establish a long-term relationship based on drinking funky tasting 106 proof Baijiu during multiple all-nighters with no end in sight. Time has a different meaning for the Chinese. When Newton in the West was exploring space the Chinese were scientifically deconstructing cyclic changes in time. Eventually, they'll say something like, "That's the lowest price you give everyone else but we want the lowest price for us." They get you on friendly drinking buddy terms and when the time is right, they insist on a "special friend" deal.

In each case, after the deal is signed changing circumstances restart the negotiations from zero.

Only Westerners make concessions, mention deadlines, fail to negotiate over pennies, split the difference (which is negotiating against yourself), agree too quickly, don't use silence as a weapon, show frustration (a weakness), put their decision maker up front rather than off premise, throw in things for free, or consider a signed contract something other than a tactic.

The key to winning is hiring an Indian, Russian, or Chinese negotiator, which disrupts their strategy. When they see they're not negotiating with a white guy, they break even by leaving, which is good because you just won.

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Mar 24, 2023Liked by Mathew Crawford

I think "we" (actually the Sociopaths in power,) are working towards a planetary Totalitarian Regime. Everything else is window dressing.

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Mar 25, 2023Liked by Mathew Crawford

Another interesting variable is what will these countries populations look like.

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US has the best geography, best river systems and best markets and decent demographics for now.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023Liked by Mathew Crawford

Thanks for another interesting article. I was just listening to a talk where the strategic importance of China’s borders with in the north west (the ‘stan countries), Mongolia and Russia were being discussed it was fascinating and not often talked about. Your article got me to look at some details on a map of these border regions.

Do you know if the Trans-Manchurian rail line or Trans-Mongolian rail lines are used for any significant trade between China and Russia?

Looks like they’ve got some pretty good rail links but that’s just what I can see on a map, which doesn’t mean they’re used for anything significant.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_Eastern_Railway

Also, there appear to be an existing gas pipeline between the two countries and it looks like a new one is in works.

https://www.globalconstructionreview.com/russia-to-invest-almost-100bn-in-gas-pipelines-to-china/

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Some thoughts on this because it is close to my heart.

"The people involved in all governments want to maintain their own security and standard of living, first and foremost."

Right there... so we know this...

IMHO every politician is a little Hitler and cannot be trusted... they are corrupt by nature of their existenz.

China's Population is decreasing.

"Every image that we get fed about most anything is staged at this point."

Right there.

Deep Sea Transportation... BS.

Hypersonic Zero Emission Transportation... YES

https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/the-invention-the-illuminati-does

On the back of my Invention we can make History.

My Invention spells the end of Aviation.

All Airports become redundant and can be converted into cities.

Making space and room for everyone without changing much.

Infrastructure is already in place.

Furthermore on the back of my Invention we can regrow all deserts and make tis planet a true paradise for everyone.

Free Education for everyone.

And on the back of my Invention Interstellar space travel becomes a possibility.

Problem solved.

https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/the-future-according-to-fritz-freud

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

that computer generated sketch it is typical ....

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author

I chose it out of numerous different images simply because Putin's face was recognizable, but when I gave the program instructions to set BRICS leaders at one table, the images were all very different from one another.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

this is much bigger than what you did.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

This does sound familiar…. From a book review on Kalergi

‘Today, democracy is a façade of plutocracy: since nations would not tolerate a pure form of plutocracy, they were granted nominal powers, while the real power rests in the hands of plutocrats.‘

‘In republican as well as monarchical democracies, the statesmen are puppets, the capitalists are the puppeteers; they dictate the guidelines of politics, rule through purchase the public opinion of the voters, and through professional and social relationships, the ministers.’

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

deeper .... deeper the rabid hole ....

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What do you recommend to learn more? the book I looked at Practical Idealism has very mixed reviews. Some readers seem to wonder if the book hasn’t been edited.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

Read anything and everything about the Khazarian Mafia. That will connect all the dots for you. Our dearly departed Clif High, aka Clifton Leach, knew that all too well. I already miss him dearly and saddened that it wasn't plastered all over Substack and I had to find out by chance. RIP Clif🥀 His posts are still online.

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I'd like to think we're winning and that they're acting out of desperation at this point. 🙏

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Should have said I'd like to hope the sources I listen to are correct.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

I think they are negotiating, but I don't think the West are included.

The West meanwhile is trying to set up new trade routes to extricate itself from China.

Here is one tiny example that something has changed. Yesterday, I was looking online for something I wanted to buy. Normally Chinese suppliers would come up in searches, yesterday I get an Indonesian supplier pops up. I have never seen that since the early days of the internet when you could actually find all sorts of companies from all over the world in searches. Amazing - just what an internet search should do.

I also saw article about Indonesia "the vast majority no longer participating in the increasingly wild sanctions, they are also increasingly turning their backs on the dollar and western payment systems. More and more countries are starting to invoice or pay in their own currency, in Chinese yuan or Russian rubles. The western payment service providers, a spearhead of the sanctions, are now being sanctioned themselves". https://tkp.at/2023/03/22/indonesien-verbannt-mastercard-und-visa-zugunsten-eigenen-zahlungssystem

If those in power want to change trade routes, then they just tell Google or whoever, to change the algorithms so we only see the markets they want us to see. (The item I was looking for was being sold for 1 penny and being sold for around 14 pounds in UK).

If we did have a world where we agreed that we want everyone to have a decent standard of living then it would be relatively easy to direct money to the countries that need it by changing who appears in searches.

It would seem that given the direct contact that Twitter has with individuals, Elon Musk may have already have thought of it. That would seem to me far better in terms of empowering people than if we are dictated to by corporate/global/oligarchy/NGO groups. He has stated publicly that he can see Twitter as being a "go to for everything".

Does Twitter have the potential to allow us to be decentralised to the unit of 1 (including currency?) ?

That was the hope some of us had when the internet began.

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So my take it that males who climb to the top of Powerful Entities, (Nations, Security Agencies, Huge Corporations and Governmental Agencies, etc.,) and remain there typically are controlling, aggressive and fearful, and most probably fall into the Sociopathic, Psychopathic, Narcissistic dark triad of personality disorders. Having a tiny handful of them "negotiate" the next false power play and structure on Earth is lethal idiocy for our entire planet.

We need a PEACEFUL, COOPERATIVE planet, where "leaders" work to solve problems, not methods to divide, conquer, and enslave.

Ever since JFK was murdered we in the United States have been ruled by toxic forces working towards the destruction of our Freedom, our Health, and our Economy. IMHO.

You cannot have free trade with nations that do not have comparative minimum wage laws, workers comp, clean air, clean water regulations and high property, income and business taxation and think your farmers, ranchers and businesses who do will survive!

You cannot give our science and tech discoveries to nations that are communist or totalitarian or highly aggressive, and think that those discoveries and technologies won't be used against us. They will.

You cannot have high immigration and/or job placement from countries and cultures who have zero respect for Individual Liberty, Freedom of Speech, Female Equality, Religious Freedom, and other "Western Beliefs" without altering our, (formerly,) uniquely Free Nation. Especially if they now run our much of our Technology systems, our Media, our Governmental Agencies, our Medical System and our Academia.

Or have those same systems run by people who see humans as a plague and are working to bring in a New World Order, where one sole sociopath can finally climb on top of the heap and rule literally the entire Earth, for goodness sake!

Americans better remember some wisdom from the past, or all that was created here will be lost very very rapidly.

(There is a reason people always wanted to emigrate here and it WAS freedom and opportunity, both now vanishing at mach 10!)

If Freedom isn't gone already, dead through the cowardice on one side of the isle, the false ideologies on the other, and the corruption, incompetence and avoidance of responsibility that runs through both, it will be very, very soon.

Allowing a creature like A.F. to run the entire NIAID and control billions, thereby controlling medicine, science, Academia and our government itself, is a stunning admission of self- destruction and total stupidity.

Never should so much power be in any one individual's grasp. And the strongest voices in Congress still are playing footsie with the Bio-security state that just waged a war on our entire Nation, killing more than a million, disabling 3 million more, bankrupting 3.3 million American businesses, and damaging permanently the immune systems of untold millions.

Perhaps ending us as a Nation entirely.

We cannot fill the jobs needed, we cannot fill the military enlistment goals, our pilots are dying and having heart attacks, and 1 in 36 of our kids are Autistic. Half have damaged immune systems and the majority have mental health problems.

Resources won't even matter soon. There will be no healthy people to utilize them if the current trends continue.

I don't think we need WW lll to finish us. I think we may already be done....destroyed by the Covid Coup.

Who REALLY ran that op? That is the real question! IMHO.

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John Adams 1775.

"Liberty once lost is lost forever. When the People once surrender their share in the Legislature, and their Right of defending the Limitations upon the Government, and of resisting every Encroachment upon them, they can never regain it."

The dire lack of an appropriate response to the, now irrefutably obvious, Covid Coup, is a sure sign we are likely well beyond the tipping point.

Nothing short of an organic, ground up, revolution will suffice in regaining liberty. The seeds of such are barely visible.

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author

What about financial bankruptcy of the authoritarians?

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Negotiating is plausible, at least among the second tier. We don't know if the top tier is an individual or an oligarchy. Do we? The so-called leaders of countries are likely not in the second tier, but are just puppets like other politicians and well-paid lackeys and intel agents etc. The second tier is likely the known and unknown plutocrats.

You said: "assume that the dollar financial networks are breaking down".

Why assume that? What is there that could break them down?

The U.S., U.K., China, Japan and maybe a few other countries have monetary sovereignty, so it's not possible for them to go bankrupt or to have a debt so large that they can't pay it.

Liz Harris's former blog, http://monetarysov.wordpress.com/, and Rodger Mitchell's site, https://mythfighter.com/, are my main sources of info on economics. They don't explain everything, but they seem to me to explain many things better than any other economists. I used to read LaRouche and later Michael Hudson and MMT, or Modern Money Theory authors. But when I came across Liz and Rodger, their explanations seemed best.

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author

In some sense, only the nation with the reserve currency is sovereign. When the U.S. goes QE, everyone has to in order not to lose export power. Same for essentially all other moves.

But more to your point...the printing of money thay is inflationary does come at a cost to those with the most money. So, they will flee the system as often as possible. They will likely choose a Bitcoin standard, or similar inflation-resistant money. Eventually, that inflation will destroy the military. Then all he'll breaks loose.

Bankruptcy.

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Do you know of graphs that demonstrate that inflation causes those with much money to leave the system? Don't they just invest in the stock market and commodities etc? How would inflation destroy the military, if you have time to explain? If it's only shortages, not money printing, that causes significant inflation, then would the military be destroyed by shortages?

Rodger Mitchell's graphs show that printing money does not add significantly to inflation. Only shortages cause inflation. And we know the current shortages were manufactured. They're not natural. Can you check out his graphs at https://mythfighter.com/2023/03/24/why-interest-rate-increases-dont-cure-inflation/ and see if they seem correct or not? If any of them are incorrect, then do you know where to find better graphs?

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If the US were to bring out a CBDC, and will be launching their SWIFT replacement in July, what happens to all the physical dollars held overseas? There are many small countries relying on them, who are not yet in the BRICS sphere of influence.

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The right thing to do would be for the U.S. to honor/accept all physical dollars that aren't counterfeit.

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If the bankers can find a way to steal those dollars, I expect that they will do that.

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Mar 24, 2023·edited Mar 24, 2023

Really good analysis but why no conclusion?

Which I'd speculate is Moscow and Beijing friends for life once Moscow pacifies Ukraine which is necessary for the new Silk Road that will tie China and Europe and Russia together for life leaving the US dollar, Navy, and Nuland out in the cold.

Russia has more diversified in-ground resources than any other country by far ($75T), twice that of number two, the US ($45T) - so that's an African black guy negotiating because no one from the US is needed at the table. What they're negotiating is their place in a multipolar world.

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Great post. Love it. Pertains to a post I have been writing all night in my sleep. Should probably link this to it - once I manage to reconstruct it in the light of day, lol.

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Id say its beyond just negotiating.

https://www.arctictoday.com/chinas-new-icebreaker-sets-course-for-its-first-arctic-voyage/

And Russia recently allowed Gazprom to form a private military company as well.

Also, the controllers of all these nations are actually the owners of central banks. And they do not negotiate. They orchestrate. Which is what is going on. 0% organic changes along with the plandemic.

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