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Systemic COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy, Part 2

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Systemic COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy, Part 2

The Chloroquine Wars Part LXXXVIII

Mathew Crawford
Nov 3, 2021
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Systemic COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy, Part 2

roundingtheearth.substack.com
"Wisdom requires not only the investigation of many things, but contemplation of the mystery." -Jeremy Narby

All of my first data comparisons in the spreadsheet I build to vacuum in, organize, and display all of Our World in Data's COVID-19 dataset, global COVID-19 vaccination rates (proportions of population) are positively correlated with both cases and deaths. In other words, more vaccination is associated with more cases and spread by nation. I will explain at least some of what I've seen so far.

I did not get to work on this project today as much as I had hoped, but it is my primary focus this week. I do still like to spend time with my wife and make it to the gym.

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Picking Cherries

Earlier today, I eyeballed my organization of the OWID dataset and picked out the nations seeing massive COVID-19 case and death spikes since beginning vaccination programs. Yes, I cherry-picked. But cherry picking is not itself a crime if you are not misrepresenting anything. And, in fact, a lot of good mathematics and statistics cannot be done without exploring and understanding the extreme cases.

Twitter avatar for @EduEngineer
Rounding the Earth @EduEngineer
Nothing to see here, move along. Vietnam Before C19Vax: 35 deaths Since C19Vax: 21381 deaths
5:07 AM ∙ Nov 3, 2021
1,272Likes677Retweets

Reminder: The dataset I am working with first is all OWID data through October 20, 2021.

Inevitably, somebody chimed in to say that I was cherry picking and that the exercise was "useless". I let her know what the summary data looks like.

Twitter avatar for @drobwlldiad
💧Emily 🇦🇺🇬🇧🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿 🔥💚✳️✳️🎀🐀 @drobwlldiad
@EduEngineer @TheWorkofHappi1 This is cherrypicked, useless
6:23 AM ∙ Nov 3, 2021

Note that I am setting up dozens of correlations to compare cumulative vaccination rates at numerous points in time with both cumulative and period-defined case and death rates. I may not publish all of it because I'm going to have hundreds of correlations and plots. But I will make this promise now: I will publish any and all such computations or plots that show any vaccine efficacy at all on a global basis. So far, every choice of comparison periods shows a slightly positive correlation (meaning no efficacy in preventing cases or deaths). Every. Single. One.

I've arrived at a point at which I suspect several things:

  • The vaccines have essentially no efficacy (if not negative efficacy)

  • The vaccines harm a substantial number of people

  • Early treatment medications clearly work, but were needed brushed out of the way to reach this point.

My beliefs somewhat leaned in all of these directions already in the sense that I believe the pandemic is a piece of a larger World War, but I will declare now that the data is there to demonstrate it.

"Yeah, but that's anecdotal. You're cherry-picking."

If you don't see how the nations doing better since vaccination began are the ones cherry-picked, I can only help you by sharing the whole story.

I work with the data from nations on Earth in this simulation or timeline. I'm trying. Also, you're running out of Fauci vocabulary, and it only works when he's talking and you're the one listening. 

You know what else we ran out of a long time ago? Leadership in our regulatory agencies that would be willing to sit down with those with other points-of-view to even have a discussion. Like, about this:

I would personally feel 95% better (just picking a number out of the air that seems impressive) if somebody like Fauci would do us the courtesy of talking to somebody like Chris Martenson who could talk on this level and ask good questions.

I admit that I don't see much hope for Steve Kirsch conducting that interview, but only because he's done the heavy lifting in keeping the FDA and CDC, otherwise known as the marketing and PR firms for Big Pharma, in the loop on what all we know about their … incompetence? … corruption? ... "Research"? (Sales et al, 2020)

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Systemic COVID-19 Vaccine Efficacy, Part 2

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23 Comments
Stoichastic
Writes Stoichastic’s thoughts
Nov 3, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

Your cherry picking accuser is a "fan of human rights" but welcomes vaccine mandates. :-/

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Martin Sewell
Writes Martin’s Newsletter
Nov 3, 2021Liked by Mathew Crawford

A correlation matrix of all of the Our World in Data COVID-19 data.

https://bit.ly/3q3pa4G

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